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VIP Picks 9/12/24

0-2 Wednesday to set up a rollercoaster ride week but at least we have NFL tonight and that should mean we are on the way up tonight and for the whole weekend with the way last weekend went for us. 


NFL:

8:20 EST

Teaser 6 Point

Bills (+8.5) / Over (42) *Draftkings 🥇

  • This one seems like a no brainer to me so not even hesitating to lock it in.

  • Bills are 8-1 straight up in Josh Allen vs Tua ERA and the 1 loss came by 2 points on a missed 2 pt conversion.

  • The Bills won 21-14 in Miami last year, 35-0 in Miami in Week 2 a few years ago, and 31-28 in Miami before that. So no issues going into Miami to win for Buffalo.

  • As for the over portion, Buffalo basically scored 34 points in 3 quarters after a slow start last week. Miami also had a slow start then went on to score 20 in 3 quarters. We need like 20+ per side tonight and I think we should get it no problem on a clear night in Miami. 


8:20 EST

Same Game Parlay

Josh Allen 225+ Passing Yards / Tua Tagovailoa 225+ Passing Yards (-125) 🥈

  • Allen has put up huge numbers against the Dolphins in recent matchups - 359, 320, 352, 304, & 400 in his last 5. Obviously new guys are in his offense and Diggs is gone but I still feel good about his adjusted line at 225 tonight. He had 232 in Week 1.

  • Tua thew for 338 last week, he’s gone over 225 passing yards in 12 of his last 15 and had 224 in 1 of those games he went under, and he’s thrown for 172, 282, & 234 in his last 3 against the Bills.

  • Liking the alternate lines for both QBs tonight in what I feel will be featuring offense. 


MLB:

7:15 EST

Red Sox / Yankees Over (8.5) Fanduel 🥉

  • I know the Sox came up just short on the over last night but back at it again with another tempting line tonight at 8.5 on Fanduel.

  • These two teams have played each other 9 times this season and they have gone over 8.5 runs in  7 of those 9 games. Each of these teams has gone over the 8.5 THEMSELVES TWICE in the season series.

  • Nestor Cortes is pitching for NYY and the Sox come in hitting .316 against him and scored 9 last time they faced him on 7/26.

  • Cooper Criswell will pitch for BOS and the Yankees scored 8 in the last game they faced him although he only pitched 1 inning. NYY is hitting .300 against him in a small sample size.

  • Love the over tonight.

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