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VIP Picks 9/19/24

3-0! 3-0! 3-0! Great day for us and great momentum going into today!


MLB:

1:10 EST

Parlay

Braves ML / Dodgers ML (+108)

  • The Braves are fighting for a Wild Card spot sitting out 2 games right now. 

  • They are going to have 17-3 Chris Sale on the mound who has the best ERA in the league at 2.35. They will face Reds pitcher Julian Aguiar who has a 10.80 ERA at home and has been hit hard. 

  • Then the Dodgers will take on the Marlins as they continue to close in on the NL West pennant. 

  • Jack Flaherty is pitching for the Dodgers and he’s gone 5-2 since being traded to LA. The Dodgers bats will face Edward Cabrera who they scored 4 runs in 2 innings against earlier this season.

  • Don’t overthink it, just take the +108.


*Night slate will be posted by 5 pm est


The official plays for tonight are the 2 player props, if you insists on a 3rd play I've listed my confidence rankings for Anytime TD Scorers.

NFL:

8:15 EST

Player Prop

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Over (64.5) 🥇

  • The Patriots have fed Rhamondre through the first 2 games with 25 and 21 carries which has led to him racking up 120 and 81 rushing yards in those games.

  • A lot of people think highly of this Jets defense but the reality is that they have been GASHED on the ground by the 49ers who ran for 180 total (147 for Mason alone) and 130 by the Titans. 

  • Yes, the Jets are likely gameplanning to stop the run but I still think the Patriots will be going into this game with the mindset of doing what’s worked for them so far. Don’t expect Jacoby Brissett to come out trying to throw on Sauce Gardner all night.

  • This number is low for a guy who has averaged 100.5 rushing yards per game going up a defense that has allowed an average of 155 rushing yards per game. Pretty simple. 


8:15 EST

Player Prop

Allen Lazard Receptions Over (2.5) 🥈

  • Lazard has been heavily involved in the Jets offense through the first 2 games and leads the team in TDs and is 2nd in yards. What really matters for this play tonight is his targets and receptions which he has 13 target and 8 receptions through 2 games. 

  • Mike Williams has had limited action and he’s kind of a wild card of how he could effect this play because he’s a similar size receiver who could steel a few receptions from Lazard tonight.

  • However, seeing that the Patriots defense allowed WR 2 Smith-Njigba to go off for 12 receptions and 117 yards last week has me liking this spot for Lazard tonight.


Bonus Play

Anytime TD (ranked in order of confidence)

Rhamondre Stevenson

Allen Lazard

Mike Williams

Parlay would pay 55 to 1


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