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VIP Picks 9/23

2-2 last night missed the 4-0 sweep by the Astros coming up short against the Royals and Mookie Betts going 0 for 3. On to College Football Saturday! You know the drill, we see how the early action plays out and then we will add plays for later accordingly. It's a smart way to manage the bankroll and bet the day in slates.


12:00 EST

Florida State (-130)

  • #4 FSU struggled to get the win vs BC last week but they played in tough conditions & let's be honest, they were already looking ahead to this game.

  • Don’t forget FSU knocked off #5 LSU a few weeks ago which got them to this ranking 

  • Clemson has beat up on nobodies since getting absolutely destroyed in their season opener vs Duke

  • Turnovers killed them in that game but so did Duke dual threat QB Riley Leonard who ran for 98 yards on Clemson so FSU QB Jordan Travis will be free to run when he wants 

  • Clemson QB Cade Klubnik struggled vs Duke’s defense so all signs point to him struggling vs FSU’s strong defense 

  • FSU hasn’t beat Clemson since 2014 but today is the day

12:00 EST


Oklahoma ML / LSU ML / Penn St ML / Texas ML / Washington ML (-121) - 2 UNIT✌️ 

  • The weekly double digit moneyline parlay checks in at -121 today

  • Oklahoma is going up against Cinci who just lost to Miami of Ohio last week 😂

  • LSU opened SEC play with a big 41-14 win over Miss St. they host Arkansas who lost to BYU last week. Arkansas is a run heavy team and this LSU defense should hold up expecting the run.

  • Penn St will host Iowa in what looks to be a defensive battle but Penn St has the much better offense (467.3 yards per game). 

  • #3 Texas will go on the road to face Baylor  which have been competitive games in the past but not tonight. Texas is the far superior team and will win this game.

  • Washington will host Cal & it’s going to be a blowout, we are just adding it to get the parlay odds to -116. Michael Penix Jr & the #2 offense averaging 614 yards per game will continue to flash. 

3:30 EST


Colorado / Oregon Over (63.5) / Alabama / Ole Miss Over (48.5)

  • Bo Nix is going to light up this Colorado defense. He’s thrown for 893 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions so far this season.

  • Colorado’s defense allowed Colorado St QB to throw for 397 last week.

  • And Oregon will also be able to run all over this Colorado defense that has allowed 195 rushing yards per game

  • Oregon might score on every drive…

  • On the other side, I’m confident in Colorado’s offense to light up the Oregon defense as well. They allowed 30 points to Texas Tech and almost lost that game despite a +4 turnover differential.

  • Both offenses should put on a show for the 3:30 ABC game.

  • Alabama looks to have bounced back defensively last week but it was against a bad USF team and it was pouring rain. The defensive backs got torched by Texas the week before and Ole Miss Jaxson Dart will look to light them up again

  • Bama is back to Jalen Milroe after the backup QB experiment last week with Saban saying he’s their guy. He struggled vs Texas but Bama still scored 24 in that game.

  • This game won’t feature as much offense as the first game in this teaser but both sides should make enough plays to go over 48.5 for us.


2:20 EST

Player Prop Hit Parlay

Cody Bellinger / Jose Altuve (TBD)

  • Bellinger continues to stay hot hitting safely in 18 of his last 22 games

  • He will go up against Rockies starting pitcher Chris Flexen who he comes in 3 for 5 against in the past

  • Jose Altuve has had multiple hit games in 5 of his last 6

  • He’s facing Jordan Lyles who he comes in hitting .412 against lifetime


7:10 EST

Royals / Astros Over (9)

  • The two scored 12 last night

  • 4-17 Jordan Lyle will pitch for KC & the Astros scored 7 in the game he pitched last Sunday. He comes in with a 6.43 ERA. 

  • JP France will pitch for HOU & this Royals lineup jumped him his last time out when they scored 5 runs in 4.1 innings against him in a game with 18 runs scored.

  • France has really struggled in 3 of his last 5 starts

  • Both offenses should be doing their part to go over 9 for us


10:30 EST

Team Total

USC Over (48.5)

  • USC team total overs have been profitable this season, they’ve scored 56, 66, & 56.

  • The Caleb Williams show goes on tonight against an Arizona State defense that has allowed Fresno State and Oklahoma St to score 29 and 27 the last two weeks.

  • USC scored 49 in the first fucking half in their last game which would have gone over this total and the starters didn’t even play in the second half.

  • That’s the risk we face with this one is that this game should be an absolute blowout so how long will Caleb Williams stay in the game?

  • Could he cover this line in the first half or third quarter? Absolutely.

  • Let’s take our chances on this high powered USC offense going over again to finish off the day.


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