Well the day got away from us yesterday...it's just shocking the Astros couldn't score any runs against Jordan Lyles. Then Colorado couldn't score and USC missed their total by 1 touchdown. NFL Sunday it is and we are firing away!
NFL:
1:00 EST
Bills ML / Chiefs ML / Cowboys ML (-132) - 2 UNITS
The Bills came back to reality and played like themselves in last week’s 38-10 win over the Raiders
The Commanders had a great comeback vs the Broncos last week and still almost blew it but they were also down 21-3 in that game
The Bills defense should make things difficult for WAS QB Sam Howell
Josh Allen should also be able to have a big day, Russell Wilson threw for 308 on WAS last week
The Chiefs are another team who bounced back in Week 2 and should be even better today against the Bears who are 2nd to last with 32.5 points allowed per game
The Chiefs defense also looked good last week holding the Jags to 9 points and didn’t even allow a touchdown
The Cowboys have steamrolled their opponents through the first two weeks outsourcing them 70-10. 70-10!
They will face the Cardinals who blew a 20-0 lead against the Giants last week
I think all three of these teams are going to cruise to wins for us today and this is definitely my most confident play of the day
1:00 EST
Teaser 7 Pt
Jaguars (-0.5) / Ravens (-1.5)
The Jaguars will host the Texans who lost by 11 to the Colts last week and the Jags beat the Colts by 10 a couple weeks ago. Nice common opponent stack up there with a delta of three touchdowns!
The Texans will be without a couple guys in the secondary so Trevor Lawrence should be able to take advantage of that.
The Jags beat the Texans 31-3 the last time they played them at the end of last season. It might be closer today but the Jags should win the game and cover the teaser for us
The Ravens will be going up against the Colts and backup QB Gardner Minshew who I respect mostly because of his mustache game but also the way he plays. However, he lost 40-14 last time he played in Baltimore.
The Ravens are missing a couple guys in the secondary but I don’t think the Colts offense will be able to keep pace with the Ravens so I’m willing to let the missing DBacks slide.
Lamar Jackson has completed 75% of his passes this season so look for him to be efficient and take his shots when he gets the chance against this Colts defense that ranks 28th against the pass
1:00 EST
Player Prop
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Over (100.5)
Jefferson has been great in his first 2 games with receiving yardage totals of 150 and 159.
He will be going up against the worst ranked passing defense in the league through two weeks today - the Chargers allowed 215 yards to Tyreek Hill a couple weeks ago
All signs point to Jefferson having a big day against them and he’s gone over this number by 50% in each of his first 2 games so let’s take him to go over again.
I also think he finds the end zone today
1:00 EST
Lions (-3)
The Lions opened the season by knocking off the defending SuperBowl Champs and then they followed that up by allowing 37 points to the Seahawks.
The thing about this matchup with the Falcons is that the Falcons are a run first team and the Lions defense has been great against the run in their first 2 games ranking 9th
I feel pretty good about the Lions slowing the run down and forcing Desmond Ridder to throw who’s career high passing game is 237 yards.
Jared Goff and this Lions offense has looked good in both games and they scored 31 last week.
The Falcons are 2-0 but they’ve played against two young QBs 24 and 22. I’m excited to see an experienced vet in Goff work against them to see how they hold up.
The Lions are also 9-3 in their last 12 dating back to last season. Let’s take them to cover at home today.
1:00 EST
Anytime Touchdown
Tyreek Hill (-110)
Tyreek has scored 3 touchdowns through his first 2 games
He leads the Dolphins in targets by more than double the next closest guy
Tyreek Anytime Touchdowns are fun bets because he can literally score from anywhere on the field at any time
The Broncos allowed Same Howell to throw for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns last week and he got a late start so I expect a big game from Tua and the Dolphins at home today.
Jaylen Waddle is out with a concussion so I think that favors Tyreek to score even more.
I told myself I’d play Hill’s Anytime TD up to -150 and was pleasantly surprised to see it at -110.
1:00 EST
Player Prop Parlay
Kirk Cousins Alt Passing 250+ / Patrick Mahomes Alt Passing 250+ (-160)
Trying to take an easy one here
Cousins has been lighting it up through the air this season throwing for 344 and 364
He’s going against the worst passing defense in the league to this point
Mahomes threw for 305 last week and he’s going against a Bears defense that has allowed Baker Mayfield to throw for 317 last week. Mahomes is going to tear them up.
1:00 EST
Player Prop
Stefon Diggs Receptions Over (5.5)
Diggs has gone over 5.5 receptions in each of his first 2 games
He caught 7 passes on 7 targets last week and 10 passes on 13 targets in Week 1
Josh Allen should be looking his way early and often again today