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VIP Picks 9/28/24

1-1 last night but atleast we hit the College Football play going into College Football Saturday!


12:00 EST

Big Moneyline Parlay of the Week

Ole Miss ML / Michigan ML / USC ML (-159) 💪 🥇

  • Home teams favored by 10+ usually win straight up in the 85%+ range and we have 3 of them today for this week’s big moneyline parlay

  • Ole Miss hosts a Wildcard Kentucky team who almost beat Georgia but also got smoked by South Carolina. This is their first road game and Ole Miss could run them off the field in this one depending on which version of Kentucky shows up.

  • Michigan is back to looking legit after beating USC last week. Minnesota has been held to 14 and 17 against the 2 good defenses they have faced so we can be confident in Michigans d holding them to less than 20 most likely. Michigan has scored 30+ in each of their games that weren’t vs #1 Texas. 

  • I am a bit worried about USC’s run defense that allowed 290 to Michigan last week going against Wisconsin who is run heavy but on the flip side of that if USC can get a couple stops and score early I don’t see Wisconsin being able to come from behind. Wisconsin also has a backup QB in after losing their starter for the season in their last game. 


12:00 EST

Navy (-4.5) 🥉

  • Navy beat this UAB team 31-6 last year. They ran for 269 yards in that game. 

  • Expect more of the same today, Navy has SPEED & the #3 ranked rushing offense while UAB has allowed 4.7 yards per carry and 237.5 rushing yards per game. 

  • Navy has averaged 3 plays of 40+ yards per game so look for more BIG plays in this one.

  • I think it’ll be a high scoring game but Navy will get more stops on the defensive side. 


3:30 EST

Teaser 6 Point

Oklahoma (+7.5) / Arkansas / Texas A&M Over (45.5) 🥈

  • Ok Oklahoma lost to one of the top teams Tennessee last week but Auburn is 2-2 and they haven’t faced a ranked opponent yet.

  • Both of those teams that beat Auburn dominated the time of possession and that’s a key factor in this game which I expect Oklahoma to do which should lead to a win, oh or for this teaser come within at least a touchdown.

  • Arkansas has played games with 70 and 64 points scored and Texas A&M has played games with 62 & 53 points scored. We’ve seen both teams ability to put up points fast but also allow points. 

  • 7 of the last 10 Arkansas vs Texas A&M games have gone over 45.5. 


7:30 EST

Alabama (-105) 4️⃣

  • I’ve heard a lot of people calling Bama Georgia’s kryptonite (1-5 in Kirby Smart’s tenure) and it’s really just because Bama is one of the other handful of schools that consistently pulls the best recruits out of high school. 

  • It’s #2 on the road at #4 and the spreads less than a field goal, take the home underdog that’s equally as talented as the opponent.

  • Georgia looked horrible on the road vs Kentucky and snuck away with a 13-12 win. 

  • This Bama team beat Georgia in the SEC Championship last year 27-24.

  • Let’s take Bama at home with Jalen Milroe making the plays down the stretch in a close game. 

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