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VIP Picks 9/29/23

Well that MLB over was one of the worst picks of the season but atleast both of our NFL plays hit and really hit with EASE! Lions took control right out of the gate and the game was never in question. David Montgomery went over 50.5 in the first half and ended up with 121 and 3 touchdowns! 11-1 in our last 12 NFL straight plays and 5 straight winning days will send us into the weekend with some momentum! But no changing up anything or heat checks, we got this hot streak by playing high percentage plays and not chasing parlays. Let’s zone in for Friday night and then make the heat check tomorrow or Sunday.


CFB:

7:00 EST

Adjusted Spread

Louisville (-3)

  • Louisville comes into this matchup with a clear advantage on the offensive side and it will be tough for NC State to keep up

  • Louisville is averaging 542 yards per game compared to NC State’s 381. Louisville has also been good about finishing drives with points all season and NC State has struggled in the Red Zone defensively allowing opponents to score 100% of the time they enter the Red Zone this season with 7 of the 9 drives finishing in touchdowns

  • NC State has only played one team that is better than them to this point and they lost by 21

  • Louisville got off to a slow start in their first game but they still came back and won with a huge second half. They are 4-0 and they’ve covered -3 in all 4 of those wins.

  • The Louisville offense is really starting to click and I think they will get off to a fast start and never look back tonight but I still want to take the adjust spread at -3 instead of the -3.5. Message me if you have questions where to find this but it’s available on all sportsbooks!


9:00 EST

Teaser 7 Point

Utah (+10.5) / Louisiana Tech (+8.5)

  • A nice underdog teaser on a Friday Night

  • #10 Utah goes on the road to face #19 Oregon State and I think Utah has a good chance to win outright so getting a +10.5 cushion is comfy!

  • Utah’s defense ranks 6th in the Nation holding opponents to 10.3 ppg. They also rank 3rd in run defense holding opponents to 47.7 ypg and Oregon State has a run first offense so it seems like a great matchup for Utah.

  • Utah is still playing with a backup QB which I don’t love & Oregon State’s defense is very solid but Utah has played a tougher schedule and has had better results. Love getting +10.5 with them.

  • Then we have LA Tech going to play UTEP who they beat 41-31 last season

  • UTEP has been getting blown out over the last 3 weeks while LA Tech has played competitive games

  • LA Tech has SUCKED against the run but this UTEP offense has also SUCKED so far this season.

  • I feel like LA Tech should be favored in this matchup so I let’s take another comfy cushion at +8.5


MLB:

MLB Player Prop Hit parlays have been great for us this season, this will be the last one of the regular season because we will be targeting College Football and NFL action the next two days. Let’s go out with an easy one!

7:20 EST

Ronald Acuna Jr / Corey Seager (-157)

  • Acuna is closing in on the NL MVP so don’t expect him to slow down over the weekend

  • He’s going up against Trevor Williams who he comes in hitting .467 against (7 for 15) with 2 career homeruns

  • Acuna has a 12 game hitting streak going and has hit safely in 18 of his last 20 games

  • Corey Seager is playing a meaningful game tonight because the Rangers are closing in on clinching the Division

  • Seager comes in on a 9 game hitting streak and he will face Bryan Woo who he is 3 for 4 against with a homerun in his career

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