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VIP Picks 9/29/24

2-2 Saturday after a 17 point favorite blew our moneyline parlay sheeesh! On to NFL Sunday to finish the week on a high note! 


NFL:

1:00 EST

Teaser 6 Point

Jets (-2) / Chiefs (-1) 🥇

  • Jets have had extra time to rest & prep for this game since they played the Thursday game last week.

  • Rodgers and the Jets offense have been clicking the last 2 games and it feels like they will just keep getting better with more time together. 

  • The defense was lock down their last time out and they will be focused on slowing down Bo Nix today. 

  • Liking the J E T S Jets at home.

  • Then the 3-0 Chiefs take on the 2-1 Chargers with a banged up QB Justin Herbert.

  • Mahomes is 8-2 vs the Chargers in his career. 

  • Chiefs should take care of business especially if Herbert isn’t playing. 



1:00 EST

Player Prop

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Over (64.5) 💯 🥈

  • Love the matchup for Najee today against the worst ranked run defense in the league

  • The Colts have allowed 179 rushing yards per game so far this season

  • Najee has gone over 64.5 in all 3 games this season so it’s a 100% hit rate

  • He also has had 17+ rushing attempts in each game so we can be confident he will get his chances to rack up the yards today 


1:00 EST

Teaser 6 point 

Bengals (+1) / Commanders / Cardinals Over (43) 🥉

  • The Bengals are going to be fired up after starting 0-3 and it’s really on the defense for last week’s loss. 

  • The Panthers switched QBs to Andy Dalton and scored 36 points last week but also lost Thielen and Johnson to injury who scored 2 of the 3 receiving TDs and combined for 162 yards and 11 catches. 

  • I expect the Bengals to win and nobody say shit to me for breaking the teasing over 0 rule, I just tease to win money.

  • Commanders vs Cardinals, Jayden vs Kyler and Call of Duty hasn’t released yet so Kyler is still focused. 

  • These teams have played high scoring games this season with point totals of 71, 57, 51, & 62.

  • It feels like a high scoring game is coming in this one and it’s the most bet over of the week so we are teasing it down by a TD to be safe 😉


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Over (49.5) 4️⃣

  • JORDAN LOVE MUST BE PLAYING FOR THIS TO BE ACTION. He is listed as expected to play but don’t bet this until it’s confirmed. 

  • Reed had a huge game in week 1 with Love throwing to him where he had 138 yards. Looking back to last season he had 89 and 83 against the Vikings. 

  • I expect a big game from Reed with his starting QB coming back. 


Anytime Touchdown (Ranked in order of confidence)

Ja’Marr Chase

Marvin Harrison Jr

Saquon Barkley

Stefon Diggs

Brian Robinson Jr

Rashee Rice

Mike Williams


*If early action looks good I will look to add a play for the 4 o’clock est slate or the Sunday Night game.


2-2 on straight plays so here’s an added one:


8:20 EST

Same Game Parlay

Lamar Jackson 40+ Rushing yards / Josh Allen 25+ Rushing yards (-115)

  • There’s some rain and wind coming through for this game so a parlay for alternate rushing yards for 2 QBs who already like to run looks like a good one

  • Lamar has gone over 40 in all 3 games with 87, 45, & 122.

  • Allen has gone over 25 in 2 of 3 and the 1 he went under was the weird Dolphins blowout. He had 44 and 39 in the other 2 games. 

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