Bears vs Seahawks Player Props: 3 Monday Night Football Picks

Monday Night Football closes Week 8 with the Chicago Bears visiting the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field on November 2, 2026. Our player prop card focuses on the passing game: Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears), Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears), and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks).

The lines below are DraftKings prices from the KofSports NFL Player Props board. Recent results were checked against official team game logs.

Bears vs. Seahawks Player Prop Picks

Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears): Over 50.5 receiving yards (-111).

Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): Over 234.5 passing yards (-113).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks): Over 98.5 receiving yards (-112).

Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears) Over 50.5 Receiving Yards

Burden has beaten 50.5 receiving yards in 5 of 7 games this season and 4 of his latest 5. His recent receiving totals, newest first, are 130, 95, 47, 63, and 61 yards. That puts tonight’s threshold below the output from most of his recent appearances.

He most recently caught 4 passes for 130 yards and a touchdown against New England on October 22. The previous game brought 8 catches for 95 yards at Atlanta. Those two performances offer different routes to the over: explosive gains on fewer catches or a larger reception total.

His 491 receiving yards across seven games produce a 70.1-yard average. We prefer the standard 50.5 line to chasing another huge performance. Burden needs 51 yards, and his only miss in the latest 5 was a 47-yard game at Green Bay.

The risk is that last game’s efficiency is difficult to repeat. 4 catches do not normally guarantee 130 yards and Seattle can disrupt Chicago’s passing rhythm. Burden and Williams also share exposure to the same offense so a quiet Bears passing night could hurt both selections.

Verified results: Burden’s official game log

Novig Offer: Deposit $10, Get $50 in Trade Credits

Ready to explore tonight’s markets? Claim the Novig offer with promo code KOFSPORTS. Eligible new members who deposit $10 or more receive $50 in Trade Credits. Check which markets are available on Novig; the DraftKings prices in this article are separate quotes.

Sponsored: KofSports may earn a commission. 21+ and eligible jurisdictions only. Identity verification and offer requirements apply. Trade Credits are non-withdrawable and expire after 30 days; trading involves risk.

Read the Novig offer terms

Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) Over 234.5 Passing Yards

Williams has thrown for 308 and 305 yards in his last 2 appearances. Against New England on October 22, he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns. At Atlanta on October 18, he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards.

His 4 2026 appearances produced 308, 305, 138, and 269 yards, newest first. 3 of those 4 cleared 234.5 and his 1,020 passing yards work out to 255.0 per appearance in that sample.

That season-only record is the relevant comparison. The five-game trend on the tool also includes a 257-yard performance from the prior season’s playoffs; it should not be described as five games from the current campaign.

At 234.5, we are asking for 235 yards rather than a third consecutive 300-yard outing. The 138-yard game against Minnesota is the clear warning, however, and the current-season sample remains small. A productive rushing attack or unsuccessful drives could limit the passing yardage even if Chicago stays competitive.

Verified results: Williams’ official game log

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks) Over 98.5 Receiving Yards

Smith-Njigba has cleared 98.5 receiving yards in 6 of 7 games this season. His latest 5 totals are 150, 134, 102, 76, and 128 yards, with 4 overs in that stretch. He has 867 receiving yards on 58 catches through 7 games, averaging 123.9 yards per game.

His most recent outing was 9 catches for 150 yards against Kansas City on October 25. Before that, he caught 12 passes for 134 yards at Denver. The reception volume in those games supports the case without needing to assume another unusually long touchdown.

Seattle has ruled out Rashid Shaheed (Seattle Seahawks), reducing the available receiving options, although that does not guarantee extra targets for Smith-Njigba. Seattle is also without left tackle Charles Cross (Seattle Seahawks), a protection concern for the passing attack. Smith-Njigba finished the week practicing fully without a game-status designation.

This is still a demanding line: 99 receiving yards are required. His 102-yard game barely cleared it, while the 76-yard performance against the Chargers missed comfortably. The season consistency supports the over, but there is less room for a quiet game than with Burden’s lower threshold.

Verified results: Smith-Njigba’s official game log

Latest availability: Seahawks’ official Week 8 injury report

Research More Monday Night Football Props

Get free access to the KofSports NFL Player Props tool to compare recent results, hit rates, matchup history and available lines before kickoff.

Treat these as individual selections. Burden’s receiving yards contribute to Williams’ passing total, so the two Bears overs are correlated rather than independent bets. Compare the latest prices and pregame availability before placing a wager.