Chiefs vs Seahawks Player Props: 3 Picks for October 25

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s receiving yards lead our Chiefs vs Seahawks player props for Sunday Night Football. Kenneth Walker III’s rushing over and an AJ Barner yardage under complete the card. We are looking at each threshold separately rather than assuming every Seattle receiver benefits equally from a big passing night.

Chiefs vs Seahawks is scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below are our 3 player prop picks, using KofSports trend data and the DraftKings lines listed in the tool.

The 3 Picks

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 91.5 receiving yards (-111)
• Kenneth Walker III over 85.5 rushing yards (-111)
• AJ Barner under 24.5 receiving yards (-114)

Matchup and Availability Notes

Smith-Njigba is off Seattle’s injury report. Kansas City has ruled receiver Rashee Rice and tackle Jaylon Moore out, while Josh Simmons is on injured reserve. Those absences matter when weighing Kansas City’s offensive stability; Walker’s recent rushing record remains the main basis for his selection.

Read the official team availability update.

1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 91.5 receiving yards (-111)

Season trend: over in 5 of 6 games (83.3%). Last 5 appearances: 4 over results. Last-5 average: 119 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 134, 102, 76, 128, 155 receiving yards.

Smith-Njigba has cleared 91.5 yards in 5 of 6 games this season and 4 of his last 5. His 119-yard recent average is 27.5 yards above the line, with 134 and 102 yards in his last 2 games.

The threshold still requires a substantial receiving day. His 76-yard game this season would lose comfortably, so we need another strong share of Seattle’s production rather than simply a healthy appearance.

Novig Promo Code: KOFSPORTS

Ready for Sunday Night Football? Eligible new Novig users can deposit $10 and get $50 in Trade Credits with promo code KOFSPORTS. Enter KOFSPORTS at signup and review the offer terms before depositing. KofSports may earn a commission through this promotion.

Get started with Novig — use code KOFSPORTS.

2. Kenneth Walker III over 85.5 rushing yards (-111)

Season trend: over in 4 of 5 games (80%). Last 5 appearances: 4 over results. Last-5 average: 133 rushing yards.

Recent results, newest first: 128, 177, 70, 117, 173 rushing yards.

Walker has rushed for 128, 177, 70, 117 and 173 yards in his last 5 appearances, clearing 85.5 in 4 of them. His 133-yard average provides a compelling recent-production case against this number.

Kansas City’s tackle absences are a real counterweight. Offensive-line changes can affect efficiency, and a game that pushes the Chiefs heavily toward passing could reduce his chances to accumulate carries.

3. AJ Barner under 24.5 receiving yards (-114)

Season trend: under in 5 of 6 games (83.3%). Last 5 appearances: 4 under results. Last-5 average: 25 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 16, 20, 12, 69, 8 receiving yards.

Barner has stayed below 24.5 receiving yards in 5 of 6 games this season and 4 of his last 5. His recent sequence of 16, 20, 12, 69 and 8 yards shows one large outing surrounded by lower totals.

His last-5 average is 25 yards, slightly above the line, because of that 69-yard game. This under is based on the frequency of lower results, and one long catch can still beat it.

Research These Props Before Kickoff

Lines and prices above come from the tool’s October 22 odds snapshot, reviewed on October 24. Check the current number and final inactives before betting. Historical hit rates describe past results; they are not model win probabilities. A materially different line or price needs a fresh assessment.

Open the KofSports NFL Player Prop Trends tool to compare the latest lines, game logs and available projections.

Get KofSports Pro access to the player prop research tools.

These are individual prop selections. Combining picks from the same offense can concentrate risk, especially when several depend on passing volume. Our preferred starting point is the first selection on the card, then evaluating the others at the prices actually available.