Eagles vs. Bears Anytime TD Picks: 3 Best MNF Bets + Long Shot

Monday Night Football closes NFL Week 3 with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The KofSports Anytime TD Rankings put four players from this matchup inside the top five: Saquon Barkley, Jalen Hurts, D'Andre Swift and DeVonta Smith. Rather than simply following the shortest prices, we're using the rankings to build a card that mixes Philadelphia's two highest-rated touchdown threats with a plus-money receiver and one long-shot reunion story.

Our featured anytime touchdown picks are Saquon Barkley at -105 and DeVonta Smith at +200 based on the KofSports market snapshot. Then we're going off the main rankings board for a bonus long shot: Zach Ertz at +500 in his first game back with Philadelphia, with Dallas Goedert ruled out. Odds move quickly, so compare the live market before betting.

Eagles vs. Bears Anytime TD Rankings

1. Saquon Barkley (PHI) vs. CHI — 73.7 KOF Score — -105
2. Jalen Hurts (PHI) vs. CHI — 73.5 KOF Score — +155
3. D'Andre Swift (CHI) vs. PHI — 72.2 KOF Score — +135
4. DeVonta Smith (PHI) vs. CHI — 71.4 KOF Score — +200
5. Colston Loveland (CHI) vs. PHI — 65.1 KOF Score — +325

The top of the board is unusually tight. Barkley and Hurts are separated by only 0.2 points in KOF Score, while Swift and Smith remain within roughly two points of the No. 1 spot. That makes price especially important. Hurts and Smith offer plus-money payouts despite ranking immediately behind Barkley, while Ertz gives us a much longer number tied to a potentially valuable red-zone role.

1. Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-105)

Barkley sits No. 1 in the KofSports Monday Night Football rankings with a 73.7 KOF Score, and the price is close to even money rather than the heavy juice we often see on the top touchdown candidate. He is also available for Monday night after dealing with a stinger during the week. With Philadelphia favored to create scoring opportunities and Barkley owning one of the offense's primary goal-line roles, he is the straightforward anchor of the card.

Why we like it: No. 1 KOF ranking, manageable -105 price and a direct path to goal-line touches in Philadelphia's offense. We feel like you have to take Saquon or Hurts but you can’t take both so we are going with Saquon for this game.

2. DeVonta Smith Anytime TD (+200)

Smith gives us the best combination of a top-four KOF ranking and a 2-to-1 payout. He enters Monday at 71.4 in the KofSports model and is coming off a huge Week 2 performance against Tennessee, when he caught 10 passes for 117 yards and a touchdown. Smith was also upgraded to full participation Saturday after dealing with a hamstring issue and is available for Monday night.

Philadelphia will be without Hollywood Brown and Dallas Goedert, removing two potential receiving options from the offense. That does not guarantee extra red-zone work for Smith, but it strengthens the case for Philadelphia's established receiving weapon to remain heavily involved whenever the Eagles throw near the goal line.

Why we like it: No. 4 KOF ranking, +200 price, a 10-catch touchdown performance last week and fewer established Philadelphia receiving options available Monday.

Long-Shot TD Pick: Zach Ertz (+500)

This is the feel-good swing of the night. Zach Ertz is back with the Eagles five years after leaving the franchise where he became a three-time Pro Bowler and caught the go-ahead touchdown in Super Bowl LII. Philadelphia brought the veteran tight end back after Goedert suffered a knee injury and Goedert has officially been ruled out against Chicago.

The obvious concern is workload. Ertz had been unsigned and has not played a game in roughly nine months and Philadelphia said his fitness would factor into the decision on how much he can contribute. This is not a bet based on expecting Ertz to immediately command a full complement of snaps.

The case is role rather than volume. Tight end has historically been a valuable red-zone position and Ertz remained a scoring threat late in his career. Over his two seasons with Washington, all 11 of his receiving touchdowns came in the red zone. Philadelphia does not need him to pile up catches for this bet to cash; it needs one scoring opportunity near the goal line. At +500, that specialized role is enough to make him our long-shot play if he is active and part of the offensive plan.

Why we like it: Goedert is out, Ertz has a long history as a red-zone target, and the +500 price requires only one well-timed opportunity. This is a smaller-stake long shot, not the same type of play as Barkley, Hurts or Smith.

What About the Bears' TD Options?

D'Andre Swift is actually No. 3 on the KofSports board at 72.2 with a +135 price, while Colston Loveland ranks fifth at 65.1. Both deserve consideration, but Chicago enters Monday without starting quarterback Caleb Williams because of a hamstring injury. Tyson Bagent cleared concussion protocol Sunday and is available, adding another variable to how Chicago's offense will operate.

Loveland is particularly interesting as a deeper option because tight ends can become useful underneath and red-zone outlets when an offense is playing with a backup quarterback. His market price has moved around the +300 range. Still, our featured card leans toward Philadelphia's scoring ecosystem rather than trying to force exposure to both sides.

Research Monday Night Football TD Scorers with KofSports

The KofSports Anytime TD Rankings compare touchdown candidates using KOF Score, sportsbook pricing, market-implied probability and deeper research inputs. Use the rankings alongside KofSports Red Zone Targets, Snap Counts and Defense vs. Position tools to research the full Monday night board.

Get KofSports Premium Picks

Want the full Monday Night Football card beyond touchdown scorers? KofSports Premium Picks include our official sides, totals, player props and other betting markets, with every official result tracked publicly.

Final Thoughts

Monday night's touchdown board gives us several ways to attack Philadelphia's offense. Barkley is the highest-rated KofSports option and our chalk anchor. Smith gives us 2-to-1 odds on the No. 4 player in the model. Then there is Ertz: a smaller-stake +500 long shot built around a reunion, Goedert's absence and a career-long ability to find space in the red zone. Shop the live numbers, keep the long shot sized appropriately and enjoy the final game of Week 3.