Falcons vs. Packers Player Props: 3 Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Thursday Night Football opens NFL Week 3 with the Atlanta Falcons visiting the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST on Thursday, September 24.

This week’s early card is built around three DraftKings markets that stand out in the KofSports Player Prop Trends data: Jordan Love passing yards, Matthew Golden receiving yards, and Jahan Dotson receiving yards. Two are overs tied to Green Bay’s passing game while the Atlanta angle attacks an under that has stayed below its current threshold in both games this season.

Best Bet #1: Jordan Love OVER 228.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Jordan Love’s passing-yard line sits at 228.5 at DraftKings with the Over priced at -113. The raw trend profile is mixed — 3 of his last 5, 5 of his last 10 and 1 of 2 this season have cleared this number — but the ceiling has been obvious. His recent game log includes passing outputs of 387, 323 and 276 yards, and he has reached at least 234 yards in 5 of the 10 games shown in the KofSports trend sample.

The early-season volume is the part we like most. Through two games, Green Bay has operated as one of the league’s more pass-heavy offenses and Love now gets a Falcons defense that has already shown vulnerability on the back end. Atlanta also enters the short week with A.J. Terrell’s status worth monitoring after he exited Week 2. We’re backing Love to get beyond 228.5 at home rather than requiring one of the 300-yard ceiling performances already present in his recent history.

Best Bet #2: Matthew Golden OVER 51.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Matthew Golden has cleared 51.5 receiving yards in each of Green Bay’s first 2 games, posting 95 yards in Week 1 and 58 in Week 2. That gives him a 2-for-2 start against Thursday’s number. His broader trend card shows 3 of his last 5 above 51.5, while his recent history also includes 84- and 55-yard performances.

Golden’s 2026 start is more important to us than the older hit-rate sample because his current role has produced 10 catches for 153 yards through two games. That’s 76.5 receiving yards per game and 15.3 yards per reception. With Green Bay throwing at a high rate early in the season and Atlanta dealing with questions in the secondary, 51.5 gives Golden room to cash without needing another explosive 95-yard outing. We like the Over at the current -113 price.

Best Bet #3: Jahan Dotson UNDER 20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Jahan Dotson’s 20.5-yard receiving line gives us our lone Under on the card. He has gone below this threshold in 4 of his last 5 games and 7 of his last 10, and he is 0-for-2 against 20.5 this season. The recent results in the KofSports sample are 11, 19, 0, 40, 13, 3, 12, 43, 40 and 17 yards — 7 of those 10 would finish Under Thursday’s line.

Dotson is still listed as a starter on Atlanta’s Week 3 depth chart, so this isn’t a bet that depends on him disappearing from the offense. It’s a bet on the current threshold being difficult to clear given his recent production. Even with meaningful Week 2 playing time, the Falcons passing game struggled to generate offense, and Dotson has yet to reach 20.5 receiving yards this season. At Under 20.5 (-115), we’re siding with the strongest hit-rate trend of the three props on this card.

Falcons vs. Packers Player Props Card

Jordan Love OVER 228.5 passing yards (-113) • Matthew Golden OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-113) • Jahan Dotson UNDER 20.5 receiving yards (-115). These are the DraftKings lines used for our Tuesday analysis. With more than 48 hours until kickoff, recheck both the number and price before placing a bet.

Falcons vs. Packers Injury Notes to Monitor

This is an early-week article, so injuries matter. Atlanta’s quarterback situation has been changing, with Michael Penix Jr. listed atop the Falcons’ Week 3 depth chart and Tua Tagovailoa working back from an oblique injury. A.J. Terrell’s availability in the Atlanta secondary is also worth watching. Green Bay has its own injury questions, including wide receiver Jayden Reed. We’ll treat Tuesday’s prop lines as the baseline and reassess if personnel news materially changes the matchup before Thursday night.

Research More Thursday Night Football Props

Want to research the rest of the Falcons-Packers board? Use the free KofSports Player Prop Trends tool to compare current lines with Last 5, Last 10, season and matchup hit rates. You can also dig into Defense vs. Position, Snap Counts and Red Zone Targets to evaluate matchup strength and player usage before kickoff.

Get the Full KofSports Betting Card

These Falcons vs. Packers player props are part of our free Thursday Night Football coverage. KofSports Premium members get access to our official betting card across the NFL, college football and more. Check out KofSports Premium Picks for the latest plays and updates as Thursday’s kickoff approaches.

Final Thoughts

The early TNF card gives us three different trend profiles: Love Over 228.5 is a volume-and-ceiling play, Golden Over 51.5 leans into a 2-for-2 start and an expanded Green Bay role, and Dotson Under 20.5 follows a line he has stayed below in both games this season and seven of the 10 recent results shown in our tool. Publishing Tuesday gives us time to watch the market; if the numbers move materially before Thursday, bettors should evaluate the new line rather than blindly chasing the original price.