Giants vs Texans Player Props: 3 Picks for October 25

C.J. Stroud’s passing yards are the starting point for our Giants vs Texans player props. We also like receiving overs for Isaiah Likely and Malik Nabers, whose recent production stands out against their lines. New York’s quarterback change makes the receiver picks less straightforward than the raw hit rates suggest.

Giants vs Texans is scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET. Below are our 3 player prop picks, using KofSports trend data and the DraftKings lines listed in the tool.

The 3 Picks

• C.J. Stroud over 256.5 passing yards (-110)
• Isaiah Likely over 50.5 receiving yards (-112)
• Malik Nabers over 72.5 receiving yards (-110)

Matchup and Availability Notes

J.J. McCarthy will start for New York adding uncertainty to how prior receiving trends translate. The official injury reports list Giants defenders Tremaine Edmunds, Jevón Holland and Greg Newsome II out, while Houston is without safeties Reed Blankenship and Jalen Pitre. These absences add matchup context without making any over automatic.

Read the official team availability update.

1. C.J. Stroud over 256.5 passing yards (-110)

Season trend: over in 5 of 6 games (83.3%). Last 5 appearances: 4 over results. Last-5 average: 288 passing yards.

Recent results, newest first: 312, 261, 347, 167, 353 passing yards.

Stroud has exceeded 256.5 yards in 5 of 6 games this season and 4 of his last 5, averaging 288 yards over that recent stretch. His latest 312 and 261-yard games both cleared the posted line.

The concern is passing volume if Houston builds a lead and turns to the run. A strong start helps this over only if it produces enough yards before the offense becomes more conservative.

2. Isaiah Likely over 50.5 receiving yards (-112)

Season trend: over in 4 of 6 games (66.7%). Last 5 appearances: 3 over results. Last-5 average: 61 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 99, 94, 66, 13, 33 receiving yards.

Likely has produced 99, 94 and 66 yards in his last 3 games, each above 50.5. His last-5 average is 61 yards, and his season record at this threshold is 4 overs in 6 games.

McCarthy’s first start changes the conditions behind those results. We are backing Likely’s recent production while recognizing that the quarterback change can alter both efficiency and the distribution of opportunities.

3. Malik Nabers over 72.5 receiving yards (-110)

Season trend: over in 3 of 6 games (50%). Last 5 appearances: 3 over results. Last-5 average: 85 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 165, 121, 112, 26, 1 receiving yards.

Nabers has finished with 165, 121 and 112 yards in his last 3 games. That recent run is the main attraction at 72.5, with each result clearing the line by at least 39.5 yards.

His full-season record is only 3 overs in 6 games, and the quarterback change adds uncertainty. Nabers and Likely also share the same passing offense: these are individual selections, and stacking both raises exposure to a poor Giants passing day.

Research These Props Before Kickoff

Lines and prices above come from the tool’s October 22 odds snapshot, reviewed on October 24. Check the current number and final inactives before betting. Historical hit rates describe past results; they are not model win probabilities. A materially different line or price needs a fresh assessment.

Open the KofSports NFL Player Prop Trends tool to compare the latest lines, game logs and available projections.

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These are individual prop selections. Combining picks from the same offense can concentrate risk, especially when several depend on passing volume. Our preferred starting point is the first selection on the card, then evaluating the others at the prices actually available.