NBA Player Props Today: 3 Best Picks for November 4, 2026

Our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, November 4, 2026, start with Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers), add the scoring streak of Luka Dončić (Los Angeles Lakers), and finish with Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) from beyond the arc.

We chose three different players from today’s shortlist weighing the listed price alongside recent production. The DraftKings lines below come from the KofSports NBA Player Prop Trends board. Game results were independently checked through November 2, and availability was reviewed against the NBA’s November 4, 9:45 a.m. ET injury report. None of the three is listed with an injury designation in that report; check for updates before tipoff.

NBA Player Props Today: Our Three Picks

1. Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers): Over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists (-107) at Detroit Pistons.

2. Luka Dončić (Los Angeles Lakers): Over 34.5 points (-110) at Sacramento Kings.

3. Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-158) vs. Toronto Raptors.

1. Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 32.5 PRA

Maxey is our preferred option because he has cleared 32.5 combined points, rebounds and assists in all eight appearances this season. His latest five PRA totals are 41, 46, 35, 36, and 38, newest first. The lowest of those still beats tonight’s line by 2.5.

Against Chicago on November 2, he posted 26 points, 4 rebounds, and 11 assists for 41 PRA. At Charlotte on October 31, 38 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists delivered 46. Those results show how the combined market can work through either scoring or playmaking.

There is also a current-season matchup reference: Maxey recorded 29 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists against Detroit on October 25, totaling 38 PRA.

The -107 price is the least expensive over on this card. That matters alongside the production: an eight-game streak is evidence of recent consistency, not an eight-game proof that the next result is certain. The 35- and 36-PRA games also show the margin can be modest. Reduced minutes or a quieter offensive role would threaten the over.

Check the results: Maxey’s current-season game log

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2. Luka Dončić (Los Angeles Lakers) Over 34.5 Points

Dončić has scored 42, 45, 37, 41, and 52 points in his latest 5 games, clearing 34.5 in every one. That stretch averages 43.4 points and even the lowest result reached 37.

His most recent outing against Miami on November 2 brought 42 points on 14-of-24 shooting, including 6 made threes and 8 free throws. He scored 45 against Toronto the night before. Through 7 appearances this season, 5 have cleared tonight’s scoring threshold.

We prefer his points prop to the 49.5 PRA alternative on the shortlist. The scoring line has cleared in all five recent games, while the PRA line missed once. Choosing one Dončić market also avoids treating two heavily overlapping bets as separate opportunities.

Sacramento does not need to surrender another 40-point game for this pick to win: 35 is enough. Still, 34.5 is a substantial scoring requirement. A colder shooting night, fewer free throws or reduced fourth-quarter minutes could break the streak. His first two games this season ended with 28 and 23 points, so the recent surge should not erase the downside.

Check the results: Dončić’s game log

3. Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Over 2.5 Made Threes

Murray has made at least 3 three-pointers in 5 consecutive games. His latest five totals are 4, 7, 5, 3, and 8, newest first. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of 6 games this season averaging 4.5 made threes per appearance.

The appeal is the threshold relative to that recent output. He needs 3 makes, not another 7 or 8 three performance. His latest game against Portland on November 2 produced 4, while the October 26 game against Golden State landed exactly on 3.

The price is why Murray ranks third rather than first. At -158, the break-even probability is approximately 61.2% before accounting for any sportsbook margin. That is a meaningfully higher bar than the prices attached to Maxey and Dončić.

Three-point shooting is volatile, and Murray’s season opener ended with zero made threes. We like the over at 2.5 but would compare prices before betting and avoid automatically moving to a higher alternate line. A strong recent hit rate does not make every price attractive.

Check the results: Murray’s three-point game log

Why These Three Made the Shortlist

Maxey combines the strongest season-long record at his threshold with the best listed price. Dončić’s scoring line has a cleaner recent record than his PRA alternative. Murray brings another five-game streak, with the higher cost reflected in his third-place ranking.

Cam Spencer (Memphis Grizzlies) remains an interesting alternative at 14.5 PRA, but the final card favors the other three players’ established offensive roles. This ranking is an editorial selection, not a calibrated win-probability model.

Build your own shortlist with the free KofSports NBA Player Prop Trends tool to compare lines, recent results and matchup history.

Prices can change before tipoff. Historical hit rates compare past results with today’s threshold; they do not mean those bets were available at the same line or odds in each previous game.