NFL Anytime TD Picks Week 6: 3 Scorers to Target on October 18

Our NFL Week 6 anytime touchdown scorer picks feature Christian Watson, Brock Bowers, and Davante Adams for Sunday, October 18. We reviewed the KofSports Anytime TD Rankings, then compared the prices with each player’s targets, recent scoring and red-zone opportunities.

The goal is to find a useful balance between scoring opportunity and payout. Plenty of the highest-ranked names carry prices above -200. This week’s shortlist keeps all 3 selections at -125 or better, including 2 at plus money or even money.

Anytime TD picks this week: October 18

Christian Watson anytime touchdown (+130) — Cowboys at Packers

Brock Bowers anytime touchdown (+100) — Bills at Raiders

Davante Adams anytime touchdown (-125) — Cardinals at Rams

Prices were checked late Saturday, October 17 through KofSports’ sportsbook comparisons and player research pages. Shop for the quoted price or better and confirm active status before kickoff. These are 3 individual picks.

Compare the full NFL Anytime TD Rankings before building your card →

1. Christian Watson anytime TD (+130)

Watson is our preferred plus-money selection. He ranks No. 14 in the anytime TD rankings and has scored 6 receiving touchdowns in 5 games this season. Those touchdowns came in 4 separate games, including 2 scores against Chicago last week.

The opportunity behind the production is encouraging. Watson has drawn 40 targets through 5 games, with 26 receptions for 474 yards. That is 8 targets per game and 18.2 yards per catch, giving him a path to a touchdown beyond a short goal-line completion.

He has also earned 7 red-zone targets, including 4 opportunities inside the 10 and 3 inside the 5. His latest snap share was 80%. The combination of regular playing time, downfield production and close-range opportunities is why he gets the nod here.

At +130, the break-even rate is 43.5%. His 4-of-5 scoring record is supporting history, not an 80% prediction for this matchup. We like the price alongside his role, while recognizing that Green Bay has other ways to finish drives.

Pick: Watson anytime touchdown at +130. A $10 winning bet returns $13 profit, plus the original stake.

Explore Christian Watson’s game logs and red-zone usage →

2. Brock Bowers anytime TD (+100)

Bowers ranks No. 13 in the anytime TD rankings and offers an even-money entry point. His current season log contains 3 appearances, and he has scored 1 receiving touchdown in each of them.

More useful than the streak alone is the workload: 34 targets, 24 receptions and 312 receiving yards across those 3 games. His target counts are 10, 11 and 13. That is sustained involvement rather than a touchdown streak built on only a handful of chances.

Bowers has 5 red-zone targets across those appearances, with 2 opportunities inside the 10 and 1 inside the 5. A 77% average snap share adds further support for his place in the offense.

Buffalo has allowed only 0.2 receiving touchdowns per game to tight ends in the KofSports matchup data, so this is a bet on Bowers’ workload and individual role rather than a soft touchdown matchup. At +100, we need a true scoring probability above 50% to have an edge. Three scoring games are encouraging, but they do not establish that probability by themselves.

Pick: Bowers anytime touchdown at +100. The even-money price is an important part of the recommendation; a move to heavy negative odds would weaken the case.

Review Brock Bowers’ targets, game logs and scoring opportunities →

3. Davante Adams anytime TD (-125)

Adams is the highest-ranked player on our shortlist at No. 10. He has 4 receiving touchdowns through 5 games, along with 45 targets, 27 catches and 441 receiving yards.

The distinction that matters: his 4 touchdowns came in 2 games, with 2 against the Giants and 2 against Buffalo. He has not scored in 4 of 5 games. That makes this a selection based on his current role and scoring opportunities, rather than a claim that he has delivered a touchdown every week.

Adams earned 3 red-zone opportunities last week and has averaged 2 per game over his last 3. His season total is 7 red-zone targets, including 2 opportunities inside the 5. Those close-range looks support the case for another scoring chance against Arizona.

The main tradeoff is competition within the Rams’ offense. Kyren Williams and Puka Nacua both rank above Adams, so productive Los Angeles drives can finish elsewhere. We prefer Adams’ -125 price to paying -205 for Williams or -155 for Nacua on this card.

At -125, the break-even scoring rate is 55.6%. Adams’ target volume and recent red-zone involvement make him our modest favorite selection, with price discipline still essential.

Pick: Adams anytime touchdown at -125. A $12.50 winning bet earns $10 profit, plus the original stake.

See Davante Adams’ targets and recent red-zone role →

How we narrowed the Week 6 touchdown picks

We used the rankings to build a shortlist, then checked player availability, scoring history and price. A listed market can remain on the board after injury news changes the outlook, so the presence of odds alone is not a reason to include a player.

KOF Score combines market expectations, red-zone opportunity, usage, recent role, matchup and scoring environment. It is a research score out of 100, not a percentage chance of scoring. Likewise, a player’s rank does not prove that a particular price offers positive expected value.

Watson, Bowers and Adams give us 3 different games and 3 distinct receiving roles. We prefer evaluating them separately. Combining them into a parlay requires every selection to score and makes the result much more volatile.

For standard anytime touchdown markets, the named player must score the touchdown. A quarterback throwing a touchdown pass does not count as that quarterback scoring an anytime TD. Check the sportsbook’s rules for participation and settlement.

Find your next anytime TD pick with KofSports

Before betting Sunday’s slate, compare the latest odds and rankings, then open individual player profiles to study targets, snap shares and red-zone usage. KofSports Pro unlocks the full KOF TD Score and the research behind the rankings.

Open the NFL Anytime TD Rankings and research this week’s scorers →