NFL Anytime TD Scorer Predictions: 3 Best Week 3 Picks + Parlay

NFL Week 3 brings another full Sunday slate and a deep anytime touchdown market. The KofSports Anytime TD Rankings have Jahmyr Gibbs, Christian McCaffrey and Derrick Henry at the top of the board but the shortest price is not always the most attractive bet. This week, we're separating elite touchdown profiles from the plus-money options that offer a more appealing payout.

Our featured card includes one elite chalk option and two plus-money receivers, followed by a three-leg chalk touchdown parlay. Odds reflect the best prices in the KofSports market snapshot when this article was prepared and can move quickly, so compare the live market before placing a bet.

How the KofSports Anytime TD Rankings Work

The KOF Score is a research ranking built from six components: Market, Red Zone, Usage, Recent, Matchup and Environment. It is designed to help compare touchdown candidates across the slate. The KOF Score is not a projected touchdown probability and the market-implied probability shown in the tool includes sportsbook margin.

Top 5 KofSports Anytime TD Rankings for NFL Week 3

1. Jahmyr Gibbs vs. NYJ — -275
2. Christian McCaffrey vs. ARI — -235
3. Derrick Henry at DAL — -220
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. NYJ — -120
5. Kenneth Walker — -210

Gibbs leads the entire board with a 94.9 KOF Score but laying -275 requires a high hit rate just to justify the price. That is why our individual card mixes Gibbs' elite profile with two receivers sitting farther down the rankings at plus money.

1. Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD (-275)

Gibbs is the pure chalk play of the week. He ranks No. 1 overall in the KofSports Anytime TD Rankings with a 94.9 KOF Score against the Jets. His component profile is elite almost everywhere: 100.0 Market, 93.1 Red Zone, 95.6 Usage, 92.9 Recent and 97.3 Matchup. The only component below 90 is Environment at 85.7.

The early-season production supports the ranking. Gibbs has scored 3 touchdowns through Detroit's first 2 games — two rushing scores against New Orleans and a receiving touchdown at Buffalo. His role has also been substantial with 45 carries and 11 receptions through 2 games. The -275 price is expensive, but this is exactly the type of high-end red-zone and usage profile we want when paying for touchdown probability.

Why we like it: No. 1 KOF ranking, elite red-zone and usage scores, three touchdowns through two games and a 97.3 matchup component.

2. Rashee Rice Anytime TD (+130)

Rice is where the card starts getting more interesting from a price perspective. He ranks No. 9 overall with a 79.3 KOF Score, yet the best available price in our snapshot is +130 at DraftKings. The market component is only 59.0, but KofSports gives Rice a perfect 100.0 Red Zone score, a 90.6 Usage score, and a 96.4 Environment score.

Rice has 6 catches for 102 yards and 1 touchdown through Kansas City's first two games. His target volume increased from two in Week 1 to six in Week 2, when he turned 4 catches into 83 yards. The matchup component is the clear warning flag at 39.2, so this is not a flawless profile. The appeal is the combination of red-zone strength, usage and a plus-money number.

Why we like it: +130 price, 100.0 Red Zone score, 90.6 Usage and 96.4 Environment. The matchup score keeps this from being a stronger play, but the payout compensates for some of that risk.

3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD (+105)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba gives us another plus-money option with one of the strongest early-season receiving profiles in football. His KOF breakdown includes an 86.5 Red Zone score, 91.7 Usage and 87.1 Recent score, with +105 available at BetRivers in the KofSports snapshot.

JSN has opened the season with 11 targets in each of Seattle's first two games. He caught 8 passes for 122 yards and a touchdown in Week 1, then erupted for 9 catches, 155 yards and, 3 touchdowns in Week 2. That gives him 17 receptions, 277 yards and 4 receiving touchdowns on 22 targets through two games.

The KOF Matchup score of 66.3 and Environment score of 64.3 are more moderate than his usage and recent-form components, so we're not treating the four-touchdown start as something that must continue at the same rate. At +105, however, we're getting plus money on a receiver who has commanded 22 targets and has already shown a major scoring role.

Why we like it: 91.7 Usage, 86.5 Red Zone, 87.1 Recent, 22 targets through two games and a plus-money price.

Week 3 Chalk Anytime TD Parlay

Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD (-275)
Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (-235)
Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-220)

Instead of laying heavy juice on all three players individually, the parlay is a way to combine the three highest-rated chalk touchdown candidates into one higher-payout ticket. Gibbs is No. 1 in the KofSports rankings at 94.9. McCaffrey enters Week 3 after scoring twice against Miami, while Henry has 4 rushing touchdowns through Baltimore's first 2 games.

This is still a three-leg touchdown parlay, so the risk rises quickly even when every leg is individually favored. Treat it as a smaller-stake add-on rather than a substitute for disciplined straight betting, and check the live combined price before placing it.

Chalk vs. Value: How We're Playing the Week 3 Board

The Week 3 rankings illustrate why we don't simply bet the five shortest touchdown prices. Gibbs, McCaffrey and Henry own elite market positions, but Rice at +130 and Smith-Njigba at +105 allow us to trade some raw touchdown probability for a much better payout. Our approach this week is one elite straight bet, two plus-money receivers and an optional chalk parlay.

Research NFL Anytime TD Scorers with KofSports

The KofSports Anytime TD Rankings let you compare touchdown candidates across the slate using KOF Score, market odds, implied probability and the six underlying research components. Use the rankings alongside KofSports Red Zone Targets, Snap Counts, and Defense vs. Position tools to research the full board before kickoff.

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Final Thoughts

Week 3 gives us two different ways to attack the anytime touchdown market. Gibbs is the highest-rated KofSports option and the anchor of the chalk side of the board. Rice and Smith-Njigba give us plus-money alternatives backed by strong red-zone or usage indicators. For bettors who want to combine the favorites, Gibbs, McCaffrey and Henry form our three-leg chalk TD parlay. As always, shop the live price and size touchdown bets appropriately.