NHL Player Props Today: 3 Picks for Monday, October 19

Our NHL player props today for Monday, October 19 focus on 3 Ducks–Rangers markets: J.T. Miller’s shots under, Mikael Granlund to record an assist, and Alex Killorn’s shots over. Two selections offer plus-money prices, while Killorn brings a low 2-shot requirement backed by recent consistency.

We compared the 4 candidates in our NHL research snapshot using recent results, season trends and the listed price. Granlund’s assist pick is conditional on his return to the lineup after an injury absence.

NHL prop bets today: October 19 picks

J.T. Miller Under 1.5 shots on goal (+130)

Mikael Granlund Over 0.5 assists (+145) — only if active with his usual role

Alex Killorn Over 1.5 shots on goal (-165)

DraftKings prices reflect Monday morning’s research snapshot. These are individual selections for tonight’s Anaheim–New York matchup. Check updated lines, lineup news and sportsbook participation rules before betting.

Compare tonight’s lines and trends in the NHL Player Props tool →

1. J.T. Miller Under 1.5 shots on goal (+130)

Miller’s under is our preferred shots-on-goal selection at the quoted price. He has finished with fewer than 2 shots in all 5 of his last 5 games, posting totals of 1, 0, 1, 1, and 0.

The season sample also supports this direction: Miller has gone over 1.5 shots in 3 of 10 games, which means the under has hit in 7 of 10. The attraction is getting +130 on the side supported by both his recent and season results.

At +130, the break-even rate is 43.5%. That is well below his historical under rate in this small sample, although past results are not a calibrated forecast for tonight.

This bet can still lose on just 2 shots. Miller’s offensive role gives him opportunities to shoot, and a more aggressive approach or extra power-play chances could change the outcome. We are backing the low recent shot totals at the available price, rather than assuming a quiet stretch must continue.

Pick: Miller Under 1.5 shots on goal at +130. He can register 0 or 1 shot and still cash the under.

2. Mikael Granlund Over 0.5 assists (+145), if active

Granlund’s assist market offers the best plus-money over among the candidates. He has recorded at least 1 assist in 5 of his 6 games this season, including 4 of his last 5. His last 5 assist totals are 1, 2, 1, 1, and 0.

Availability is the key condition. Granlund missed Anaheim’s last game with a lower-body injury and was reported day to day, although he practiced Saturday before the road trip. Keep this pick off the active card until his participation and expected role are confirmed.

An assist also depends on a teammate finishing a scoring chance. Granlund can create good opportunities without earning a point, so the 5-of-6 season record is supporting evidence rather than an 83.3% win prediction.

Pick: Granlund Over 0.5 assists at +145, only if active with a normal role. If he remains out or is expected to be limited, pass.

3. Alex Killorn Over 1.5 shots on goal (-165)

Killorn is the higher-priced selection but the required output is only 2 shots on goal. He has reached that mark in 4 of his last 5 games and 5 of his 7 games this season.

His last 5 shot totals are 2, 3, 4, 1, and 2. The 3- and 4-shot games provide some cushion, while the pair of 2-shot results show why keeping this at 1.5 matters.

At -165, the break-even rate is 62.3%. His 71.4% season hit rate and 80% last-5 hit rate support considering the over, but the price leaves less room for error than the plus-money picks.

We prefer this to raising the line for a larger payout. Over 2.5 shots would have cleared in only 2 of those last 5 games, compared with 4 of 5 at 1.5. Confirm his expected lineup role and shop the price rather than treating every shots market as interchangeable.

Pick: Killorn Over 1.5 shots on goal at -165. Keep the threshold at 2 shots.

Why Perreault misses the top 3

Gabe Perreault has cleared 1.5 shots in 4 of his last 5 games, including a 6-shot performance. However, his season record at the threshold is 5 of 10. At -135, the over requires a 57.4% scoring rate to break even.

The recent improvement is worth watching, but the broader 50% season hit rate makes his case less convincing at that price. We prefer Miller’s plus-money under, Killorn’s stronger season consistency and Granlund’s conditional assist play.

How to use NHL shots on goal stats

Shots on goal exclude missed and blocked attempts. A player can be active offensively without every attempt counting toward the prop, so use official shots rather than total attempts when evaluating these markets.

The hit rates here compare past totals with the current line; they are not records against each game’s historical closing line. Last-5 and season samples also overlap. No head-to-head trend is available in this research snapshot, so these picks rely on recent and season production.

All 3 selections come from the same matchup and should be evaluated individually. Granlund and Killorn can also be affected by the same Anaheim lineup changes. If Granlund is unavailable, the card becomes 2 picks rather than forcing a replacement.

Research more NHL player props with KofSports

Use our NHL Player Props tool to compare current shots, assists, points and goalie-save lines with recent game results. Start with the Last 5 trend, then explore the season and longer samples to see whether a hot stretch has broader support.

Open the NHL Player Props tool and research tonight’s board →