Packers vs Lions Player Props: 3 Picks for October 25

Detroit’s receiving markets offer the clearest trends in our Packers vs Lions player props. We favor Jahmyr Gibbs over his reception total and Sam LaPorta over his receiving yards, alongside an Amon-Ra St. Brown yardage under. A productive offense can support several different outcomes, so the threshold matters for each player.

Packers vs Lions is scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below are our 3 player prop picks, using KofSports trend data and the DraftKings lines listed in the tool.

The 3 Picks

• Jahmyr Gibbs over 4.5 receptions (-145)
• Sam LaPorta over 48.5 receiving yards (-113)
• Amon-Ra St. Brown under 79.5 receiving yards (-110)

Matchup and Availability Notes

Detroit’s final report carried no game designations for its players. Green Bay ruled linebacker Zaire Franklin out. His absence is relevant to Detroit’s underneath passing options, although it does not establish a particular coverage assignment or guarantee extra catches.

Read the official team availability update.

1. Jahmyr Gibbs over 4.5 receptions (-145)

Season trend: over in 4 of 5 games (80%). Last 5 appearances: 4 over results. Last-5 average: 5.4 receptions.

Recent results, newest first: 5, 4, 7, 6, 5 receptions.

Gibbs needs 5 receptions and has reached that mark in 4 of 5 games this season. His sequence of 5, 4, 7, 6 and 5 catches shows a relatively narrow range around and above the threshold.

At -145, the price is materially higher than a typical -110 prop, with a break-even rate of approximately 59.2%. The 80% season hit rate comes from only 5 games; it is historical evidence, not a forecast of the next result.

2. Sam LaPorta over 48.5 receiving yards (-113)

Season trend: over in 3 of 5 games (60%). Last 5 appearances: 3 over results. Last-5 average: 63.2 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 88, 84, 44, 52, 48 receiving yards.

LaPorta has cleared 48.5 yards in 3 of 5 games this season and in each of his last 2, with 88 and 84 yards. His recent average of 63.2 puts the posted number below his last-5 mean.

The 44 and 48-yard results show that he can come close and still lose this over. We like the yardage threshold, but a catch total alone will not be enough if most of the completions are short.

3. Amon-Ra St. Brown under 79.5 receiving yards (-110)

Season trend: under in 4 of 5 games (80%). Last 5 appearances: 4 under results. Last-5 average: 74.4 receiving yards.

Recent results, newest first: 69, 75, 19, 142, 67 receiving yards.

St. Brown has stayed below 79.5 yards in 4 of 5 games this season. His results are 69, 75, 19, 142 and 67, leaving only one game above the number despite an obvious high ceiling.

His last-10 average is 88.9 yards, a reminder that the wider sample is more favorable to the over. We are emphasizing this season’s frequency of unders, while recognizing that one explosive game can overwhelm the trend.

Research These Props Before Kickoff

Lines and prices above come from the tool’s October 22 odds snapshot, reviewed on October 24. Check the current number and final inactives before betting. Historical hit rates describe past results; they are not model win probabilities. A materially different line or price needs a fresh assessment.

Open the KofSports NFL Player Prop Trends tool to compare the latest lines, game logs and available projections.

Get KofSports Pro access to the player prop research tools.

These are individual prop selections. Combining picks from the same offense can concentrate risk, especially when several depend on passing volume. Our preferred starting point is the first selection on the card, then evaluating the others at the prices actually available.