Patriots vs Bills Player Props: 3 Best Week 4 Bets

New England-Buffalo offers several strong usage angles, and the early KofSports matchup data gives us reasons to research both passing and quarterback rushing markets. We'll use current sportsbook lines at kickoff rather than forcing numbers that may move.

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These are our favorite angles for this matchup, but you can research the entire board with the KofSports NFL Player Prop Trends tool. Compare current prop lines with recent results and hit rates, then dig deeper into KOF Scores, matchup and usage research before making your picks.

1. Mack Hollins OVER 44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Hollins is currently 44.5 receiving yards at -110 on DraftKings and has cleared that line in 4 of his last 5 results shown by KofSports. Those five games produced 87, 18, 51, 78 and 51 yards. With four separate 50+ yard performances in that span, 44.5 gives us a manageable threshold in a matchup where Buffalo has allowed early wide-receiver production.

2. Drake Maye OVER 230.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Maye’s current DraftKings passing line is 230.5 yards at -112. His recent results against that threshold are 199, 208, 178, 295 and 86, so he has cleared it only once in his last five. This is therefore a matchup and game-script play rather than a recent-hit-rate play: Buffalo has been favorable to opposing quarterbacks in the early KofSports DvP data, and a trailing script could force New England toward more passing volume. Can Drake Maye still pass? We think so.

3. Josh Allen OVER 31.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Allen’s current DraftKings rushing line is 31.5 yards at -114. He has cleared that number in 3 of his last 5, rushing for 69, 66 and 33 yards in the three covers, with 22 and 23 in the misses. New England has been tougher through the air than several early opponents, which makes Allen’s rushing ability an appealing alternative route to production.

Final Word

Research the Rest of the Week 4 Prop Board

Want to research more than these three picks? Explore NFL Player Prop Trends to compare the rest of the board before kickoff.

Mack Hollins over 44.5 receiving yards, Drake Maye over 230.5 passing yards and Josh Allen over 238.5 passing yards are the three current Patriots-Bills angles. Recheck the KofSports Player Prop Trends tool before kickoff for any line movement.