Patriots vs Packers Player Props: 3 Picks for November 8

Our Patriots vs Packers player props feature passing overs for Drake Maye and Jordan Love, plus a rushing over for Rhamondre Stevenson. The quarterbacks have recent production to support the numbers, while Stevenson’s case depends more on a changing backfield than on his season hit rate.

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots | Sunday, November 8, 2026 | 4:25 p.m. ET | Gillette Stadium

All lines and odds below are DraftKings references from the November 8 morning research snapshot. They can change before kickoff. Trend counts compare past performances with today’s listed line; they are not a record of bets placed at historical closing prices.

Matchup and injury notes

New England ruled out A.J. Brown and TreVeyon Henderson. Hunter Henry and Mack Hollins are questionable, so Maye’s available receiving group needs a final check. Green Bay ruled out Micah Parsons and Zaire Franklin; Christian Watson has no game designation after limited practice. Maye practiced fully Friday without a game designation.

Official Patriots–Packers injury report

3 player prop picks

1. Drake Maye (New England Patriots): Over 228.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Maye’s latest 5 passing totals are 199, 321, 235, 374, and 269 yards. He cleared 228.5 in 4 of those 5 games, though only 4 of 8 across the full season. His latest 199-yard performance came on just 20 attempts.

The over needs 229 yards, a threshold Maye exceeded throughout the preceding 4-game stretch. A return to greater passing volume would help, but Brown’s absence is a real drawback. This is the most personnel-sensitive pick here: reassess if additional receiving options are unavailable, and do not treat Green Bay’s defensive absences as a guarantee of production.

View Drake Maye’s game logs, usage, and player prop trends

2. Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers): Over 274.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Love’s latest 5 passing totals are 288, 274, 276, 367, and 197 yards. He has exceeded 274.5 in 5 of 8 games this season. His latest 3 outings included 41, 45, and 41 passing attempts.

That recent attempt volume supports the over more directly than a generic shootout argument. There is still little margin: 274 missed this number and 276 barely cleared it. The pick is strongest at 274.5; a move toward 280 makes the same recent results less persuasive. Green Bay’s protection also deserves attention with Sean Rhyan ruled out.

View Jordan Love’s game logs, usage, and player prop trends

3. Rhamondre Stevenson (New England Patriots): Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

Stevenson carried 19 times for 82 yards against Miami and played 77% of New England’s offensive snaps. His latest 5 rushing totals are 82, 22, 36, 64, and 47 yards. Only 2 cleared 55.5, so recent results alone do not make this a dominant trend.

Henderson being ruled out is the reason to look forward rather than simply follow that low hit rate. Stevenson has a plausible route to another substantial carry count, although the remaining backs can still share work. If New England sustains its rushing volume, 56 yards is reachable without repeating all 82 from last week. A pass-heavy deficit is the main game-script risk.

View Rhamondre Stevenson’s game logs, usage, and player prop trends

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Compare today’s lines with recent results, then check playing time and matchup data before making your final decision. Each pick above is an individual selection; combining correlated outcomes changes the risk.

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