Ravens vs Jaguars Player Props: Thursday Night Football Picks, November 5

Thursday Night Football brings the Jacksonville Jaguars to Baltimore on November 5, 2026. Our player prop card focuses on Brenton Strange’s receiving yards, Mark Andrews’ receptions, and Derrick Henry’s rushing yards. Strange leads the card, Andrews offers a low reception threshold, and Henry is the more cautious rebound play.

Baltimore’s quarterback injuries are central to the matchup. The Ravens have announced Joe Fagnano as Thursday’s starter with Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley injured. A less experienced quarterback could encourage a conservative approach but it also creates uncertainty around sustained drives and scoring opportunities.

Thursday Night Football player prop picks

Brenton Strange (Jacksonville Jaguars): Over 35.5 receiving yards (-110). KOF projection: 44.0 yards.

Mark Andrews (Baltimore Ravens): Over 2.5 receptions (-126). KOF projection: 3.3 receptions.

Derrick Henry (Baltimore Ravens): Over 70.5 rushing yards (-115). KOF projection: 75.1 yards.

Odds are DraftKings reference prices and may change. KOF projections are estimates, not win probabilities. Recent results below run newest to oldest and are evaluated against the listed thresholds.

Brenton Strange (Jacksonville Jaguars) — Over 35.5 receiving yards (-110)

Strange is our first choice at a line that requires 36 receiving yards. His latest 5 results are 55, 44, 68, 95, 32. He has cleared 35.5 in 4 straight games and 4 of 7 games this season.

There is a useful mix of production in that stretch. Strange caught 7 passes for 95 yards against Cincinnati and 7 for 68 against Philadelphia. His latest outing was different: 2 catches for 55 yards against Indianapolis, including a 46-yard reception. That shows how an explosive play can help, but 2 catches also leave less margin if the long gain does not materialize.

The KOF projection of 44.0 yards sits 8.5 yards above the line. We like the combination of that projection and the recent record, while recognizing that Jacksonville’s target distribution can change from game to game. The recommendation is tied to 35.5 rather than chasing a significant increase.

View Brenton Strange’s game log and player prop trends

Mark Andrews (Baltimore Ravens) — Over 2.5 receptions (-126)

Andrews needs 3 catches, a mark he has reached in 7 of 8 games this season. His latest 5 reception totals are 3, 3, 1, 4, 5, giving him 4 clears in that span.

We prefer the reception market because Andrews has recently accumulated catches without much yardage. He finished with 3 receptions for 14 yards at Buffalo and 3 for 23 against Cincinnati. Those outings were enough for this threshold even though neither produced a large receiving total.

Fagnano’s first career start is the main uncertainty. Short throws to a tight end could fit a conservative passing plan, but that is an expectation rather than a confirmed usage change. Andrews’ season record largely came in different quarterback circumstances, so it should not be treated as an 87.5% forecast for Thursday.

The KOF projection is 3.3 catches, 0.8 above the line. At -126, we are backing a modest catch requirement while accounting for the risk of fewer successful drives. A move to 3.5 receptions would require a fresh assessment.

View Mark Andrews’ game log and player prop trends

Derrick Henry (Baltimore Ravens) — Over 70.5 rushing yards (-115)

Henry is the third choice because his recent results offer less support. His latest 5 rushing totals are 53, 45, 58, 102, 73. He has cleared 70.5 in 2 of those 5 games and 4 of 8 this season, with 3 consecutive misses entering Thursday.

The case for a rebound starts with Jacksonville’s defensive personnel. The Jaguars announced season-ending injuries to defensive tackle DaVon Hamilton and safety Eric Murray after the Indianapolis game. Losing Hamilton changes the interior rotation on a short week, creating a reason to reconsider a run defense that had been a team strength.

Baltimore could lean on Henry to reduce the burden on Fagnano. The counterargument is just as relevant: Jacksonville can prioritize the run if it does not respect the passing threat, and an early deficit could limit Henry’s carries. More expected emphasis on rushing does not automatically mean more yards.

The KOF projection is 75.1 yards, only 4.6 above the line. That makes this a narrower model lean than the other selections. Keep the play at 70.5 and avoid treating Henry’s reputation as evidence that the recent struggles have disappeared.

View Derrick Henry’s game log and player prop trends

Research the Thursday night matchup

Before kickoff, compare the latest prices, check the final injury report and confirm the active roster. The quarterback situation makes those updates especially relevant for Baltimore’s props. These are individual selections; combining them does not establish a separate parlay edge.

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