Seahawks vs Broncos Player Props: 3 Thursday Night Picks

Thursday Night Football heads to Denver on October 15, 2026, as the Seahawks visit the Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET, with Prime Video listed as the broadcaster. Our Seahawks vs Broncos player props feature two Seattle receiving Overs and a Denver receptions Under.

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Seahawks vs Broncos Player Props: Three Picks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 89.5 receiving yards (-113): conditional on player availability and no reported workload restriction.

Tory Horton Over 5.5 receiving yards (-112): a low-threshold angle with limited season data.

Courtland Sutton Under 3.5 receptions (-165): strongest recent Under trend, but the most expensive price on the card.

DraftKings odds quoted as of October 13. Check current prices and final player availability before betting.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Smith-Njigba has topped 89.5 receiving yards in 4 out of 5 games this season, finishing with 102, 76, 128, 155, and 122 yards. Each of his 4 clears reached at least 102 yards.

We need 90 yards and JSN has averaged 116.6 receiving yards per game through the first 5 games. His production gives us a clear case for the Over without needing a touchdown.

The matchup deserves attention alongside the trend. Denver listed Patrick Surtain II and Talanoa Hufanga as non-participants on Monday’s estimated injury report. Their final status was not established by that report, so we are not assuming either will miss the game.

The bigger condition is JSN’s own ankle. Seattle listed him as limited on Monday’s estimated report after he finished Sunday’s game. We like the Over at 89.5 and -113 if the subsequent reports support normal involvement. A restriction, worsening injury designation, or materially higher line would require a fresh assessment.

Tory Horton Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Horton needs just 6 receiving yards. One catch can do it, making this the smallest yardage hurdle on the card. His last five recorded receiving totals are 6, 48, 48, 39, and 10 yards—all above 5.5.

Horton has cleared 5.5 yards in both games he’s played in this season and in all 7 games in the available historical sample. That is encouraging support for a low number, though the two-game season sample is small.

We like the opportunity to win this on one ordinary reception. But that path depends on Horton running routes and receiving a target; a low line cannot compensate for no involvement. The six-yard result also cleared by only half a yard, making this a play where a small line move matters.

Our target is Over 5.5 at -112. Confirm Horton is active and expected to run routes; this play depends on getting a receiving opportunity.

Courtland Sutton Under 3.5 Receptions (-165)

Sutton has stayed Under 3.5 receptions in all 5 games this season, with catch totals of 2, 1, 3, 3, and 2. He has also stayed Under this threshold in 7 of his last 10 games.

The bet needs Sutton to finish with 3 catches or fewer. Receiving yards are irrelevant to this market: a long catch can produce a productive yardage game while leaving the receptions Under intact.

The concern is cost. At -165, the break-even probability is approximately 62.3%. The recent results support the direction, but they do not prove the true probability exceeds that threshold. More passing volume, a shift in target distribution or short completions could produce the fourth catch.

Sutton’s Under has the strongest recent trend on this card. We want Under 3.5 at -165 or better. A move to 2.5 would change the bet significantly: he finished with three catches in two of his five games this season.

Before You Place Your Bets

These trends measure past performance against the lines recommended here, rather than the lines offered in each previous game. Historical results help inform the picks, but Thursday’s workload and matchup will decide the outcomes.

Treat these as individual selections. Combining both Seattle receiving Overs and Sutton’s Under creates shared game-script exposure and requires a separate assessment of the parlay price.

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