Steelers vs. Browns Anytime TD Picks: 2 Best TNF Bets

Thursday Night Football brings an AFC North matchup to Cleveland and the KofSports Anytime TD Rankings point us toward two Browns pass catchers at plus money. Harold Fannin Jr. and Denzel Boston sit almost side-by-side in the model — 63.2 and 63.1 KOF Scores — and both offer a much bigger payout than the short-priced favorites. We're keeping this card selective rather than forcing a third touchdown scorer.

Steelers vs. Browns Game Information

Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
Location: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland
TV/Streaming: Prime Video

KofSports Anytime TD Rankings: Steelers vs. Browns

Harold Fannin Jr. — KOF Score 63.2 — +310 best available — 27.0% market probability across 6 books
Denzel Boston — KOF Score 63.1 — +350 best available — 24.1% across 6 books
Jaylen Warren — KOF Score 61.0 — +115 best available — 49.8% across 6 books
DK Metcalf — KOF Score 60.2 — +275 best available — 29.9% across 6 books
Deshaun Watson — KOF Score 57.2 — +430 best available — 20.6% across 6 books
Quinshon Judkins — KOF Score 55.7 — +115 best available — 49.1% across 6 books
Michael Pittman Jr. — KOF Score 54.3 — +475 best available — 22.7% across 6 books
Pat Freiermuth — KOF Score 52.0 — +450 best available — 21.7% across 6 books

Odds above are from the KofSports multi-book snapshot supplied for this article and can move before kickoff.

Our 2 Best Anytime TD Picks

1. Harold Fannin Jr. Anytime TD (+310)

Fannin is the highest-rated touchdown option on the KofSports board for this matchup at 63.2, narrowly edging Boston. The price is the first thing that stands out: +310 gives us a plus-money target with a 27.0% market probability across six books in the KofSports snapshot.

The timing is also hard to ignore. Fannin just caught 7 of 9 targets for 51 yards and 2 touchdowns in Cleveland's 21-18 win over Carolina. He led the Browns in targets, receptions, and receiving yards, and both scores came in the same game — including the go-ahead 14-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter. Over the last 2 games, he has combined for 12 catches, 125 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 targets.

Most important for an anytime-touchdown bet, the usage extends into scoring territory. Through 3 games, Fannin has recorded 2 red-zone targets, including one inside the 10-yard line. That gives us something more substantive than simply chasing last week's two-TD box score.

Why we like it: Fannin leads the KofSports rankings for the matchup, is coming off a two-touchdown performance, has 15 targets over his last two games and has already been involved near the goal line. At +310, we don't need him to score often for the price to be interesting.

2. Denzel Boston Anytime TD (+350)

Boston checks in only one-tenth of a point behind Fannin in the KofSports model at 63.1, while offering an even larger +350 payout. The KofSports market snapshot shows a 24.1% market probability across six books.

The rookie has already established himself as an explosive part of Cleveland's offense. Boston has 195 receiving yards through 3 games on 9 catches, an average of 21.7 yards per reception. That big-play ability matters in the touchdown market because he isn't entirely dependent on Cleveland sustaining a drive all the way to the goal line.

Boston also has legitimate red-zone involvement. Through the first 3 games, he has 3 targets inside the opponent's 20 — the most among Cleveland players in the red-zone data we reviewed — including one target inside the 10. That combination of downfield explosiveness and scoring-area usage is exactly what makes the +350 number appealing.

Why we like it: Boston is No. 2 on the KofSports matchup rankings, has already produced 195 yards in three games, owns three red-zone targets and offers the biggest payout of our two selections at +350.

What About Jaylen Warren, DK Metcalf and Quinshon Judkins?

Warren (+115) and Judkins (+115) carry much shorter prices and sit near 50% market probability in the KofSports snapshot, while Metcalf (+275) is another reasonable Steelers option. Warren is especially notable after a 127-yard rushing performance against Cincinnati, but we're choosing not to force a short-priced touchdown favorite into the official card. With anytime TD bets, price matters. For this article, the combination of KOF ranking, red-zone involvement and payout pushes us toward Fannin and Boston.

Long-Shot TD Parlay

For bettors who want a small-stake long shot, pairing Fannin and Boston to both score creates a high-variance Browns touchdown parlay. Treat it accordingly: the individual bets are the primary plays, while a two-scorer parlay should be a much smaller wager because both events must hit.

How the KofSports Anytime TD Rankings Work

KofSports compares the touchdown market with player usage, red-zone opportunity, recent production, matchup and game environment to create a KOF Score for each available scorer. The ranking is a research signal, not a guarantee, and the best available odds matter because even a good touchdown candidate can become a poor bet at the wrong price.

Get KofSports Premium Picks

The Anytime TD Rankings are part of the KofSports research platform. For our complete Thursday Night Football betting card across sides, totals, props and other markets, check the KofSports Premium Picks.

Final Thoughts

We're taking the plus-money route for Steelers-Browns. Harold Fannin Jr. (+310) owns the highest KOF Score in the matchup and enters Thursday after a two-touchdown game with meaningful recent target volume. Denzel Boston (+350) sits essentially even with him in the model and brings both explosive-play ability and three early-season red-zone targets. Two selections are enough — there is no reason to manufacture a third pick just to make the card longer.