NFLPremium
Sep 10, 7:10 PM EDT
NFL Premium Pick
Premium Pick #1
🔒
Selection locked
Confidence
★★★★☆
Recommended Units
Locked
Best Odds
Locked
Premium analysis locked
KofSports Premium
Today's premium betting card.
Get every published selection, recommended unit size, best available odds, confidence rating, and the complete reasoning behind each play.
Current Card
Today's Premium card
Log in with a Premium account or upgrade your membership to unlock the complete card.
3 active picks
NFLPremium
Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT
NFL Premium Pick
Premium Pick #2
🔒
Selection locked
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Recommended Units
Locked
Best Odds
Locked
Premium analysis locked
NFLPremium
Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT
NFL Premium Pick
Premium Pick #3
🔒
Selection locked
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Recommended Units
Locked
Best Odds
Locked
Premium analysis locked
Already a Premium member?
Log in using the account connected to your Premium membership.
Transparent Tracking
Recent Premium results
See the 10 most recent graded Premium plays from the last 30 days, including the original selections and analysis.
MLBMoneyline
×LossRays at Braves
Rays ML +105
Sep 10, 12:15 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
The Rays are underdogs today despite winning the first 2 games of this series and out scoring the Braves 14-3. Nick Martinez will pitch for TB and they have won 11 of the last 13 games that he’s pitched. He’s also posted a 2.15 ERA with a 7-1 record on the road this season and he’s held the Braves lineup to a .222 avg lifetime. 8-9 Martin Perez pitches for the Braves and he’s lost 3 of his last 4 while giving up 4 runs in each of those games as well as 9 walks combined. The Rays who have faced him come in hitting .317 against him so I like the value of a slight underdog Rays +105.
NFLPlayer Prop
✓WinSeahawks vs Patriots
Cooper Kupp (Sea) Receiving Yards 25+ -153
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
+0.65u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★★★
Review original analysis
Kupp has gone for 25+ in 7 of his last 8 overall and 6 of his last 10 but finished with 24 in 2 of those games. The best game that he had during that stretch was in the Super Bowl against this same Patriots defense that he will face tonight. He had 61 yards on 6 receptions with 12 targets (most of the season). I locked in this prop as soon as the news broke that Christian Gonzalez signed his contract with the Patriots because he’s going to be all over JSN which is going to force Darnold to target Kupp again tonight, just like the Super Bowl. This is an alternate line and I realize that DK has it at -153 but it’s hit at an 88% rate over he last 8 games and the head to head result plus rematch matchup tonight sets up nice for him.
NFLPlayer Prop
✓WinSeahawks vs Patriots
George Holani (Sea) Rushing Yds 20+ -108
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
+0.93u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
We’re buying low on George Holani tonight and only asking him to find 20 rushing yards. Seattle enters the season without Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet is on the PUP list leaving rookie Jadarian Price, Holani, and Emanuel Wilson in the backfield. Price is expected to lead the way but reports indicate Seattle plans to mix in a heavy dose of Holani and I don’t expect them to hand every carry to a rookie making his NFL debut. Seattle showed all last season that it likes using multiple backs — RB2 Zach Charbonnet recorded 20+ rushing yards in 15 of the 16 games in which he received a carry, including clearing 20 with as few as six carries. The Seahawks also ran for 141 yards against New England in the Super Bowl so I expect them to go back to the ground game tonight. We don’t need Holani to have a big game; give us 6-8 carries and a couple decent runs and we have a great shot to get there. Holani is also listed as RB1 on the Seahawks website depth chart. Obviously the lines show Price will end up getting more work but I think this is a unique situation to take advantage of on a low number.
NFLPlayer Prop
—PushPatriots at Seahawks
AJ Brown (NE) Receiving Yds Over (63.5) -110
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
0.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
There’s no history to lean on with A.J. Brown and Drake Maye playing together but that’s also why I think we’re getting an opportunity tonight. Brown has topped 1,000 receiving yards in six of his seven NFL seasons and now gets paired with a QB who led the NFL in completion percentage and passer rating last season while also posting a 131.0 passer rating on throws 20+ yards downfield. Brown also went over 63.5 yds in 5 of his last 7 games (with a worse QB). Seattle is an extremely tough matchup but their secondary comes into Opening Night banged up — starting safety Ty Okada is OUT, while standout DB Nick Emmanwori is questionable coming off ankle surgery, potentially leaving Seattle extremely thin at safety. Obviously Devon Witherspoon will match up against Brown more times than not but I still think Brown is going to get his. At 63.5 yards, I think the matchup and the uncertainty surrounding a brand-new QB/WR combination are giving us a discount on a true WR1. This could be one of the lowest receiving numbers we see on Brown all season and New England brought him here specifically to give Maye the elite downfield weapon he was missing. Take over 63.5 tonight because we might not get a line below 90 the rest of the season.
NFLOther
×LossPatriots at Seahawks
7 Pt Teaser or Alt Line Patriots (+10.5) / Over (37.5) -120
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
We’re taking advantage of the teaser on Opening Night and giving ourselves plenty of breathing room with Patriots +10.5 and OVER 37.5. Seattle is currently only a 3.5-point favorite, so getting New England all the way through the key numbers of 3 and 7 to +10.5 gives us a huge cushion in a game I expect to be competitive. On the other side we’re dropping the total from 44.5 to just 37.5, meaning something as simple as a 24-17 final gets us home on both legs. New England upgraded Drake Maye’s weapons with A.J. Brown while Seattle enters tonight thin in the secondary with starting safety Ty Okada OUT and Nick Emmanwori questionable. We don’t need New England to win and we don’t need a shootout — just keep this within single digits and get us to 38+ total points.
MLBMoneyline
✓Win2 Team Parlay
Yankees ML / Dodgers ML -149
Sep 8, 7:05 PM EDT
Result
+0.67u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
Aaron Judge is back in the lineup for the Yankees and they are facing Gabriel Hughes who threw the game of his life last Tuesday when we bet against him but he still sucks and comes in with a 6.19 ERA and the Rockies have lost 8 of the last 10 games that he’s pitched. I especially like his ability to give up walks and homeruns in Yankee Stadium. Cam Schlittler will pitch for NYY with his 2nd ranked 2.04 ERA vs the Rockies who have the second worst run differential of -140 on the season and are 25-47 on the road. The Dodgers will be at home with Skubal on the mound. They have won 5 in a row including game 1 against the Reds last night. They will face Nick Lodolo with a 6.0 road ERA. The Reds lineup comes in just 4 for 32 lifetime against Skubal so I expect him to shut it down. Lock this one in early because the price is going to keep going the other way as the day goes on.
MLBOther
×LossParlay
Red Sox/Angels Alternate Total Runs Over (5.5) / Blue Jays ML -116
Sep 7, 1:35 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
New week. We’re starting off by taking some extra protection with the alternate total and pairing Angels/Red Sox OVER 5.5 with Blue Jays ML. Boston and LA give us two vulnerable starters in Brayan Bello and Grayson Rodriguez, with the Angels batting .338 against Bello in 100 career ABs and Boston hitting .304 against Rodriguez, so instead of needing nine runs we’re dropping this all the way to six. Then we’re asking Toronto to win behind Dylan Cease, who has been one of baseball’s best starters with a 2.25 ERA (4th) and already held this Athletics lineup to 1 run over 5.1 innings earlier this season. Toronto also gets a favorable matchup against Jacob Lopez, who carries a 4.71 ERA, with current Blue Jays hitters batting .320 against him.
NCAAFPlayer Prop
✓WinNotre Dame vs Wisconsin
Aneyas Williams (ND) 80+ Rushing Yards -114
Sep 6, 7:30 PM EDT
Result
+0.88u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
It’s Aneyas Williams’ turn to lead the Notre Dame backfield. With Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price both off to the NFL after combining for more than 2,000 rushing yards and 29 TDs last season, Williams steps into the No. 1 role after being ridiculously efficient with his opportunities. He’s averaged 7.6 yards per carry over his first two seasons, including 9.3 YPC last year, and finished 2025 on a tear with 194 rushing yards and 4 TDs on just 18 carries over his final four games. Notre Dame averaged 203.4 rushing yards per game and 5.7 yards per carry last season, and the Irish enter tonight as roughly three-touchdown favorites over Wisconsin. If we get the game script we expect, Williams should have plenty of opportunities to salt this game away on the ground in the second half. We only need 80 rushing yards from Notre Dame’s new lead back.
NCAAFTotal
×LossNotre Dame vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin 1st Half Total Points UNDER (6.5) +105
Sep 6, 7:30 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
Wisconsin gets the in-state spotlight at Lambeau Field, but I think points are going to be extremely difficult to come by early against this #4 Notre Dame defense. The Badgers averaged just 12.8 points per game last season and things got even uglier when they stepped up in competition. Against six ranked opponents — Alabama, Michigan, Ohio State, Oregon, Indiana and Washington — Wisconsin scored just 0, 7, 0, 0, 7 and 3 first-half points, an average of only 2.8 points per first half. They stayed UNDER today’s 6.5 number in 4 of those 6 games, and never scored more than one first-half touchdown in any of them. Now Wisconsin opens the season with a revamped offense and new QB Colton Joseph against a Notre Dame defense that allowed only 17.6 points per game and 100.1 rushing yards per game last season. Joseph is dangerous on the ground after rushing for 1,007 yards and 13 TDs at Old Dominion but Notre Dame brings back plenty of talent from one of the top defenses in the country. Wisconsin should have plenty of crowd support at Lambeau but we’re betting this offense once again struggles to generate points early against elite competition. 0, 3 or 6 points all cash.
NCAAFSpread
×Loss2 Team Teaser
Washington/Washington St O (44.5) / Ole Miss (+0.5) -125
Sep 6, 4:00 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
We’re buying seven points of protection in two spots I really like today. Washington absolutely lit up Washington State in last year’s matchup, winning 59-24, with QB Demond Williams Jr. accounting for five touchdowns. The betting market is expecting points again, but instead of needing 52, we only need 45 — scores like 31-14, 28-17 or 35-10 all get us there. Ole Miss gets teased from -6.5 all the way to +0.5, so we’re simply asking the No. 9 team in the country to beat Louisville. The Rebels are coming off a 13-2 CFP semifinal season and return QB Trinidad Chambliss who threw for 3,937 yards, 22 TDs and only 3 INTs, along with RB Kewan Lacy, who ran for 1,567 yards and 24 TDs. Ole Miss averaged 36.1 points per game last season and we’re taking the spread completely out of the equation and just asking them to win. Let’s take Ole Miss -0.5 / Washington-Washington State OVER 44.5 in the 7-point teaser.