MLBPremium
Sep 11, 7:10 PM EDT
MLB Premium Pick
Premium Pick #1
🔒
Selection locked
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Recommended Units
Locked
Best Odds
Locked
Premium analysis locked
KofSports Premium
Today's premium betting card.
Get every published selection, recommended unit size, best available odds, confidence rating, and the complete reasoning behind each play.
Current Card
Today's Premium card
Log in with a Premium account or upgrade your membership to unlock the complete card.
2 active picks
NCAAFPremium
Sep 11, 8:00 PM EDT
NCAAF Premium Pick
Premium Pick #2
🔒
Selection locked
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Recommended Units
Locked
Best Odds
Locked
Premium analysis locked
Already a Premium member?
Log in using the account connected to your Premium membership.
Transparent Tracking
Recent Premium results
See the 10 most recent graded Premium plays from the last 30 days, including the original selections and analysis.
NFLPlayer Prop
×LossRams vs 49ers
Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards Over (18.5) -112
Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
Colby Parkinson has gone over this number in 10 straight games as well as the last head to head matchup against this 49ers defense where he had 41. An even better stat to go along with the 10 out of 10 trend is that he had individual receptions of 19+ yards in 5 of those 10 games so he’s covered the line on one single play 50% of the time and covered it 100% overall in his last 10 games. I love a good player prop that can hit on one play. To add to it, the 49ers ranked 24th against Tight Ends last season. We could go over on one play but would really expect 2 or 3 receptions to get us the yards to go over here and the odds are implying a very good chance of him getting 2+ receptions. Over 18.5 is the official play at -112 on DK. Lock in.
NFLPlayer Prop
×Loss49ers vs Rams
Kyle Juszcyk (SF) Receiving Yds Over (5.5) -110
Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
Another player prop that can hit on one play. Juszcyk has gone over 5.5 receiving yards in 12 of his last 14 games where he’s recorded at least one reception. He averaged 8.9 yards per catch in the regular season last year and 12 yards per catch in the playoffs. He also went over in both head to head matchups against the Rams with 8 and 21. If you want to say last season was the Mac Jones effect, look back at his season averages for yards per catch prior to that - 10.5, 8.5, 10.5, 9.9, 10.6, 11.9, 10.8, 9.5, 7.2, 7.8, 9.6. Steady fucking decade plus of covering this number on one single catch. All we need is one check down or screen to him tonight.
NFLMoneyline
×Loss2 Team Parlay
Rams ML / Yankees ML +100
Sep 10, 7:10 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★★☆
Review original analysis
We’re going cross-sport tonight and asking two favorites to take care of business. The Yankees are 82-62 and have won the first two games of this series against Colorado 5-3 and 6-1. Now they get a huge pitching advantage with Max Fried (2.73 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) against Ryan Feltner (5.91 ERA). Colorado enters just 25-48 on the road while New York is 38-31 at Yankee Stadium. Then we roll it into the Rams ML against San Francisco. LA enters the season as a Super Bowl favorite with reigning MVP Matthew Stafford who threw for an NFL-best 4,707 yards and 46 TDs last season and they added reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett after his NFL-record 23-sack season. San Francisco went 12-5 last year but finished dead last in the NFL with only 20 sacks, 24th in rushing, and 20th in total defense before getting blown out 41-6 in the divisional round. We don't need LA to cover the 3.5 and we don't need the Yankees to cover the run line — just give us two wins. Give me YANKEES ML / RAMS ML (+100).
MLBMoneyline
×LossRays at Braves
Rays ML +105
Sep 10, 12:15 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
The Rays are underdogs today despite winning the first 2 games of this series and out scoring the Braves 14-3. Nick Martinez will pitch for TB and they have won 11 of the last 13 games that he’s pitched. He’s also posted a 2.15 ERA with a 7-1 record on the road this season and he’s held the Braves lineup to a .222 avg lifetime. 8-9 Martin Perez pitches for the Braves and he’s lost 3 of his last 4 while giving up 4 runs in each of those games as well as 9 walks combined. The Rays who have faced him come in hitting .317 against him so I like the value of a slight underdog Rays +105.
NFLPlayer Prop
✓WinSeahawks vs Patriots
Cooper Kupp (Sea) Receiving Yards 25+ -153
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
+0.65u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★★★
Review original analysis
Kupp has gone for 25+ in 7 of his last 8 overall and 6 of his last 10 but finished with 24 in 2 of those games. The best game that he had during that stretch was in the Super Bowl against this same Patriots defense that he will face tonight. He had 61 yards on 6 receptions with 12 targets (most of the season). I locked in this prop as soon as the news broke that Christian Gonzalez signed his contract with the Patriots because he’s going to be all over JSN which is going to force Darnold to target Kupp again tonight, just like the Super Bowl. This is an alternate line and I realize that DK has it at -153 but it’s hit at an 88% rate over he last 8 games and the head to head result plus rematch matchup tonight sets up nice for him.
NFLPlayer Prop
✓WinSeahawks vs Patriots
George Holani (Sea) Rushing Yds 20+ -108
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
+0.93u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
We’re buying low on George Holani tonight and only asking him to find 20 rushing yards. Seattle enters the season without Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet is on the PUP list leaving rookie Jadarian Price, Holani, and Emanuel Wilson in the backfield. Price is expected to lead the way but reports indicate Seattle plans to mix in a heavy dose of Holani and I don’t expect them to hand every carry to a rookie making his NFL debut. Seattle showed all last season that it likes using multiple backs — RB2 Zach Charbonnet recorded 20+ rushing yards in 15 of the 16 games in which he received a carry, including clearing 20 with as few as six carries. The Seahawks also ran for 141 yards against New England in the Super Bowl so I expect them to go back to the ground game tonight. We don’t need Holani to have a big game; give us 6-8 carries and a couple decent runs and we have a great shot to get there. Holani is also listed as RB1 on the Seahawks website depth chart. Obviously the lines show Price will end up getting more work but I think this is a unique situation to take advantage of on a low number.
NFLPlayer Prop
—PushPatriots at Seahawks
AJ Brown (NE) Receiving Yds Over (63.5) -110
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
0.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
There’s no history to lean on with A.J. Brown and Drake Maye playing together but that’s also why I think we’re getting an opportunity tonight. Brown has topped 1,000 receiving yards in six of his seven NFL seasons and now gets paired with a QB who led the NFL in completion percentage and passer rating last season while also posting a 131.0 passer rating on throws 20+ yards downfield. Brown also went over 63.5 yds in 5 of his last 7 games (with a worse QB). Seattle is an extremely tough matchup but their secondary comes into Opening Night banged up — starting safety Ty Okada is OUT, while standout DB Nick Emmanwori is questionable coming off ankle surgery, potentially leaving Seattle extremely thin at safety. Obviously Devon Witherspoon will match up against Brown more times than not but I still think Brown is going to get his. At 63.5 yards, I think the matchup and the uncertainty surrounding a brand-new QB/WR combination are giving us a discount on a true WR1. This could be one of the lowest receiving numbers we see on Brown all season and New England brought him here specifically to give Maye the elite downfield weapon he was missing. Take over 63.5 tonight because we might not get a line below 90 the rest of the season.
NFLOther
×LossPatriots at Seahawks
7 Pt Teaser or Alt Line Patriots (+10.5) / Over (37.5) -120
Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
We’re taking advantage of the teaser on Opening Night and giving ourselves plenty of breathing room with Patriots +10.5 and OVER 37.5. Seattle is currently only a 3.5-point favorite, so getting New England all the way through the key numbers of 3 and 7 to +10.5 gives us a huge cushion in a game I expect to be competitive. On the other side we’re dropping the total from 44.5 to just 37.5, meaning something as simple as a 24-17 final gets us home on both legs. New England upgraded Drake Maye’s weapons with A.J. Brown while Seattle enters tonight thin in the secondary with starting safety Ty Okada OUT and Nick Emmanwori questionable. We don’t need New England to win and we don’t need a shootout — just keep this within single digits and get us to 38+ total points.
MLBMoneyline
✓Win2 Team Parlay
Yankees ML / Dodgers ML -149
Sep 8, 7:05 PM EDT
Result
+0.67u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
Aaron Judge is back in the lineup for the Yankees and they are facing Gabriel Hughes who threw the game of his life last Tuesday when we bet against him but he still sucks and comes in with a 6.19 ERA and the Rockies have lost 8 of the last 10 games that he’s pitched. I especially like his ability to give up walks and homeruns in Yankee Stadium. Cam Schlittler will pitch for NYY with his 2nd ranked 2.04 ERA vs the Rockies who have the second worst run differential of -140 on the season and are 25-47 on the road. The Dodgers will be at home with Skubal on the mound. They have won 5 in a row including game 1 against the Reds last night. They will face Nick Lodolo with a 6.0 road ERA. The Reds lineup comes in just 4 for 32 lifetime against Skubal so I expect him to shut it down. Lock this one in early because the price is going to keep going the other way as the day goes on.
MLBOther
×LossParlay
Red Sox/Angels Alternate Total Runs Over (5.5) / Blue Jays ML -116
Sep 7, 1:35 PM EDT
Result
-1.00u
Recommended Risk
1 unit
Confidence
★★★☆☆
Review original analysis
New week. We’re starting off by taking some extra protection with the alternate total and pairing Angels/Red Sox OVER 5.5 with Blue Jays ML. Boston and LA give us two vulnerable starters in Brayan Bello and Grayson Rodriguez, with the Angels batting .338 against Bello in 100 career ABs and Boston hitting .304 against Rodriguez, so instead of needing nine runs we’re dropping this all the way to six. Then we’re asking Toronto to win behind Dylan Cease, who has been one of baseball’s best starters with a 2.25 ERA (4th) and already held this Athletics lineup to 1 run over 5.1 innings earlier this season. Toronto also gets a favorable matchup against Jacob Lopez, who carries a 4.71 ERA, with current Blue Jays hitters batting .320 against him.