Commanders vs Giants Anytime TD Picks: Thursday Night Football

The Washington Commanders and New York Giants meet on Thursday Night Football on November 12, 2026, with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium. Our Anytime TD shortlist features Isaiah Likely (New York Giants), Cam Skattebo (New York Giants), and Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders).

Likely brings the strongest recent touchdown trend, Skattebo is the shorter-priced running back option, and Daniels is the longer shot with a proven rushing path against this opponent. Here is the scoring usage behind each selection, along with the reasons each could miss.

Commanders vs. Giants Anytime TD picks

Isaiah Likely (New York Giants): Anytime TD, +195 reference price at BetMGM.
Cam Skattebo (New York Giants): Anytime TD, +120 reference price at bet365.
Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders): Anytime TD, +260 reference price at BetMGM.

These are published sportsbook reference prices checked on November 11, not a claim of the best live price. BetMGM’s published matchup board lists Likely and Daniels at the prices above; bet365’s November 11 preview lists Skattebo at +120. Verify the current number and market rules before placing a wager.

1. Isaiah Likely (New York Giants): Best recent scoring trend

Likely has scored 4 receiving TDs across his last 4 appearances: 1 against Philadelphia, 0 against Houston, 1 against New Orleans, and 2 against Washington. His player game logs show 6 receiving TDs across 8 appearances this season, with a touchdown in 4 of those games. Total TDs and games with a TD are different measures; the latter matters for an Anytime TD wager.

The earlier Commanders matchup provides a direct example of his scoring route. On October 11, Likely caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and 2 TDs. Washington had trouble keeping him out of the passing game, and his 13 targets gave him multiple chances to finish a drive.

His recent usage remains encouraging. Likely’s latest 5 target totals are 6, 4, 11, 13, and 12. KofSports’ tracked red-zone data credits him with 11 red-zone targets this season, including 4 opportunities inside the 5-yard line.

The matchup also supports targeting a tight end. Washington has allowed 1.00 receiving TD per game to opposing tight ends in the NFL Defense vs. Tight Ends table. That is a position-group allowance, not a personal touchdown projection, but it fits Likely’s demonstrated role.

At the +195 reference price, Likely is our preferred scoring pick. The risk is competition for New York’s touchdowns: Malik Nabers and the running backs can finish drives instead, and Likely drew only 4 targets in his scoreless Houston game.

2. Cam Skattebo (New York Giants): Shorter-priced option

Skattebo’s most recent logged appearance produced 124 rushing yards and 1 TD on 17 carries against Houston. His latest 5 logged carry totals are 17, 13, 18, 20, and 12, according to his game logs and scoring usage. Those workloads give him a clear rushing route to the end zone when available for his normal role.

KofSports’ red-zone tracker credits Skattebo with 12 red-zone carries, including 5 opportunities inside the 10 and 3 inside the 5. This is evidence of close-range involvement, although it does not establish an exclusive goal-line role.

The injury update matters. Skattebo finished Wednesday as a full participant and has no game designation after his hamstring issue. That puts him on track to return, but we still want to see his expected workload hold up after the layoff.

Washington allows 0.75 rushing TD per game to opposing running backs in our NFL Defense vs. Running Backs table. Skattebo is the shorter-priced selection on this card at the +120 reference number, but his season scoring output has been modest: 2 rushing TDs. He also went without a TD in the October meeting with Washington.

This is a workload-and-matchup selection rather than a hot-streak play. Devin Singletary’s presence and the possibility of a managed return are the biggest concerns. We would reassess if pregame reporting points to a reduced role rather than treating the cleared injury designation as a guarantee of touches.

3. Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders): Longer shot

Daniels’ strongest case comes from the first meeting. He ran 9 times for 103 yards and 2 TDs against New York on October 11. The Jayden Daniels game logs show that Washington has already found a successful quarterback rushing route against this defense.

That is the upside case, not the recent baseline. Daniels has 0 rushing TDs in his last 3 appearances, with carry totals of 4, 2, and 4. His 2 rushing TDs this season both came in that earlier Giants game. We are not presenting him as a frequent recent scorer.

The +260 reference price makes him the longer shot of the group. A keeper or scramble can turn a limited rushing workload into a touchdown, but he needs that specific scoring opportunity to materialize. Wednesday’s full practice participation is encouraging for his availability.

Remember that a passing TD does not count as a Daniels Anytime TD score. He must score the touchdown himself under the standard market definition. Washington’s missing center Lucas Patrick adds offensive-line uncertainty, and the recent reduction in Daniels’ carries is why he belongs behind Likely and Skattebo on this shortlist.

How to approach the 3 picks

Likely is our first choice for his recent TD production, red-zone targets, and direct matchup success. Skattebo offers the shorter price and a rushing role, provided his return brings a normal workload. Daniels is the more speculative option, supported by his earlier 2-TD rushing performance against New York rather than his recent scoring frequency.

These are individual selections, not a recommendation that all 3 must score together. Likely and Skattebo compete for New York’s scoring opportunities, and every extra leg makes a touchdown parlay harder to hit.

Compare candidates in our NFL Anytime Touchdown Rankings tool and review the linked player logs for recent scoring and usage.

For the yardage card, read our Commanders vs. Giants player props article.

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Availability notes were checked against the Giants’ official injury report.